Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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735
FXUS64 KSJT 131755
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1255 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot temperatures and generally dry weather expected this week.

- Chance of showers and storms and temperatures closer to normal
  expected for next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

Not much to add to the hot and dry forecast. Temperatures running
around 10 degrees or more above normal this afternoon, and more of
the same expected for Monday. Heat index values should stay below
criteria and will not issue a Heat Advisory at this point, but
will continue to monitor.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

Upper level ridge will remain in place across the Southeast US
this week, ridging across West Central Texas. Temperatures not
budging very much and will continue to flirt near the 100 degree
mark across the area every afternoon.

Upper level ridge still forecasted to start to break down for next
weekend, with a cold front moving into the area. Latest model runs
have pushed the timing back a little later so there remains
remains quite a bit of uncertainty on timing. Still, model blends
are dropping highs into the low/mid 90s for next weekend with a
low chance (20-30%) chance of showers and storms. Not going to
argue with the blends at this point this far out and will continue
to watch to see how this works out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Gusty south
to southeast winds this afternoon will decrease this evening.
Expect south winds to increase to 10 to 15 knots, with higher
gusts, by mid to late morning Monday. Patchy status will develop
across the Hill Country Monday morning, but is forecast to remain
south of the TAF sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     76 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  99  73 100 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    71  97  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73  99  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  76 101  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  95  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  97  72  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Daniels