175
FXUS64 KSJT 292253
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
553 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mainly hot and dry conditions expected through Thursday, with
  near to above normal temperatures expected.

- Slightly cooler temperatures are expected Friday and Saturday,
  with a slight chance for rain showers on Friday afternoon and
  Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

High pressure will continue to build across the region leaving hot
and dry conditions in place through Wednesday. Overnight lows
tonight are expected to range in the mid 60s to mid 70s, with the
warmest temperatures expected across the Big Country. Wednesday
afternoon high temperatures are expected to range in the mid 90s
and up to 103 degrees, with the warmest temperatures expected
across the Big Country. Generally light southerly winds will
remain in place across the area, with a few areas possibly seeing
some infrequent gusts up to 15 mph this afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Models are trending a bit faster with the cold front later this
week. Many of the models are now showing the front reaching our
area on Thursday rather than Friday, as convection in the
Panhandle reinforces the front and pushes it south into the Big
Country. If the front does push south on Thursday rather than
Friday, high temperatures in the Big Country will likely need to
be adjusted down a few degrees. Right now, the forecast has highs
on Thursday in the mid 90s to around 102, with a medium chance
(50%) of San Angelo hitting the 100 degree mark. This would be the
only 100 degree day for July in San Angelo, if it occurs. The
last time San Angelo did not record a single 100 degree day in
July was in 2007.

Temperatures will decrease for Friday and Saturday, as the ridge
shifts further west, away from our area, and the surface low and
front sit around West Central Texas. The combination of weak
surface convergence near the front and weak disturbances in the
northerly flow aloft will lead to low end rain chances for Friday
and the weekend. The majority of ensemble members keep rain
amounts under an inch for our forecast area. Surface winds will
turn back to the south by Sunday and the upper ridge will start to
shift back to the east, leading to warmer temperatures for the
start of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

VFR conditions and light south to southeast winds will prevail
across West Central Texas terminals through Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74 100  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  69  98  70  98 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    66  97  68  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   70  99  70 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  74 101  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       66  95  69  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  96  71  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...07