757
FXUS64 KSJT 151859
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
159 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and dry weather will persist through the weekend and into at
  least the middle of next week.

- Elevated elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon and
  again Sunday afternoon.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

High pressure aloft currently over the lower Mississippi Valley
will migrate westward into north Central Texas by tomorrow
afternoon. Thus, a hot and dry forecast will continue across the
forecast area through Sunday. A Fire Danger Statement remains in
effect for the Big Country through early evening, due to breezy
south winds, RH values in the 20s and dry vegetation. A Fire
Danger Statement will likely be needed again for portions of the
area on Sunday. Lows tonight will be in the 70s, with highs on
Sunday between 95 and 103 degrees, coolest along the I-10
corridor.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Dry and hot conditions will persist across West Central Texas
through the upcoming week. The upper high will be positioned over
north central Texas on Monday and will migrate slowly westward to
the Four Corners region by late in the week. Daytime highs through
the week will range from the mid and upper 90s along the I-10
corridor, and between 100 and 104 degrees across the Concho
Valley, Heartland and Big Country. Overnight lows will be in the
70s. By late in the week, the GFS shows a short wave moving
southeast through the central Plains, with a possible cold front
pushing through Oklahoma into north Texas. However, confidence
regarding this scenario remains quite low at this time.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Mainly VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will
continue to be out of the south in the 5 to 15 knot range with
gusts around 20 knots from mid/late morning through the afternoon
and early evening hours. Could see some brief SCT clouds at MVFR
heights again tomorrow morning, but will let later forecasts
address this.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     77 101  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73 100  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  97  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73 100  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75 102  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       71  94  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  98  72  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...20