375
FXUS64 KSJT 041135
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
635 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Medium chance (30-50%) for showers and thunderstorms across our
  southern and central counties today.

- Hot and dry conditions expected over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

There is a chance of rain for much of the area, mainly south of I-20
late this morning through this afternoon. Whats left of the
remnants of Edouard, mainly tropical moisture will move into the
southeast counties this morning with scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms. The activity will pick up a little this afternoon
with the Hi-Res models indicating convection mainly across the
Concho Valley and Northern Edwards Plateau. Going with medium
chance Pops across this area. The main hazards will be dangerous
lightning and gusty winds. Brief heavy rainfall is also possible.
Slightly cooler today with highs in the 90s to near 100 to 103
across the Concho Valley and much of the Big Country. Please
follow heat safety precautions. Going with mainly a dry forecast
for much of tonight, besides a few showers and thunderstorms early
this evening across the Northern Edwards Plateau.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

The upper level ridge will become centered over the Southern
Plains over the weekend resulting in a continuation of above
average temperatures. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms
are possible along or south of the I-10 corridor on Saturday
afternoon, but most of us will remain dry. The ridge will continue
to influence out weather through at least the middle of next
week, with hot and dry conditions persisting for our area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

The Hi-Res models are indicating scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly along and south of a San Angelo to Brownwood
line Friday afternoon. Going with a few hours of thunder at most
of the terminals, besides KBBD/KABI keeping dry for now.
Otherwise, expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     99  75  99  76 /  20   0   0   0
San Angelo 100  72  98  72 /  40  10   0   0
Junction    95  70  95  70 /  40  10  20   0
Brownwood   93  69  97  70 /  30   0   0   0
Sweetwater 102  75 100  75 /  20  10   0   0
Ozona       97  71  95  71 /  30  20  10   0
Brady       91  70  94  71 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...21