375
FXUS64 KSJT 290603
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1203 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  low to medium chances for showers and a few thunderstorms this
   overnight.

-  Gusty north-northeast winds are expected Saturday evening and
   Saturday night following a cold frontal passage.

-  Colder temperatures on Sunday, with temperatures remaining
   below normal through the early part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 120 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Expect low to medium chance of showers and a few thunderstorms
across much of the area tonight and early Saturday morning due to
increasing mid level ascent and increasing moisture. Rainfall
amounts look light and also some weak elevated instability for
possible thunder. The rain will be over Saturday morning. Also,
low level southerly flow will continue with gusts to 30 mph at
times.

A strong cold front will move south into the area Saturday and
will be along a San Angelo to Brownwood line by 00Z Sunday.
Another warm day before strong cold air advection/much colder
weather arrives for Sunday. Highs will be mainly in the 70s.
However, temperatures may be slowly falling across the Big Country
during the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 1202 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Sunday will be colder and afternoon highs will range from the lower
40s in some of our northern counties, to the upper 40s in the far
southeastern part of our area. Skies will be partly to mostly
cloudy, and northeast winds will gradually decrease through the day.
Increased cloud cover Sunday night will limit overnight lows to the
lower to mid 30s.

With increased low/mid level moisture and some lift, a few light
rain showers will be possible early Monday morning to midday in far
eastern and southeastern portions of the area (generally east of a
Cross Plains to Junction line). With winds veering to south and
southwest, temperatures will be comparatively warmer Monday. Highs
will range from the 50-53 in our far northeast and eastern
counties where cloud cover lingers longer into the day, to the
upper 50s in the western Concho Valley and along the I-10
corridor.

With an upper trough forecast to move east-southeast across the
central/southern Plains Monday, a weaker cold front will move south
across the Big Country Monday evening, and across the rest of our
area early Monday night. After a cold start to the day Tuesday
(morning lows mostly in the mid 20s to lower 30s), afternoon highs
will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s as winds become south.

Warmer temperatures will follow on Wednesday (highs mostly in mid to
upper 60s) with partly cloudy skies and south to southwest winds. An
upper trough is progged to move across the northern and central
Plains, and extend southwest to the Four Corners area on Wednesday.
This will push another cold front south across our area Wednesday
evening into the overnight hours. Somewhat gusty north-northeast
winds will follow passage of this cold front and continue into the
day Thursday.

Temperatures will be much cooler Thursday with highs ranging from
the mid 50s north to lower 60s south. Skies will be mostly cloudy.
Much of our area will have low rain chances (20-30 percent) Thursday
into Thursday night, when an overrunning pattern may try to develop
with an upper trough over the southwestern CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1051 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

MVFR to IFR Stratus at 5Z will continue to lower to IFR across
the terminals near or just after 6Z. South wind gusts 20 to 27 KTS
expected overnight IFR ceilings will rising to MVFR mid morning
before scattering out to VFR late morning. A cold front will move
into KABI mid afternoon and KSJT/KBBD around 00Z and KSOA/KJCT
Sunday evening. Strong north winds gusting to 26 KTS expected
with cold front

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     70  30  45  34 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  73  32  45  34 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    71  35  49  34 /   0  10   0  10
Brownwood   71  31  45  33 /  10  10   0  10
Sweetwater  69  30  43  34 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       71  35  45  36 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       71  34  45  35 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...04