Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
972 FXUS64 KSJT 040714 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 114 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Breezy and colder conditions today, along with a low chance (20 to 30 percent) for scattered light rain showers this morning. - Dry and warmer weather will prevail Friday through Saturday, before the next cold front on Sunday, followed by gradual warming for the beginning of the work week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 114 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Early this morning a cold front was moving southward through west central Texas. Winds behind the front are from the northeast at 10- 15 MPH with gusts near 20. Temperatures were falling into the 40s. A weak impulse embedded in the mid-level southwest flow was helping to provide lift for some developing showers over the far northern Big Country. In addition, low-level moisture was being lifted by the front and may produce some very light showers this morning east of a line from Haskell to Mason. As the morning goes on, the mid-level support for precipitation will diminish and rain chances will end. However, northeast flow below the 850mb level should keep low-level cloud cover in place through at least mid-afternoon. An area of surface high pressure moving into Texas from the north should continue to advect cold air into the region throughout the day. The stout cloud cover, combined with cold air advection, should result in a narrow diurnal range today. Temperatures will likely hover in the low to mid 40s and not rise much at all. The clouds should start to break up this evening as low-level flow shifts out of the northwest and drier air moves in. Winds will be light overnight due to the center of the high moving in and temperatures should fall into the 30s. Areas along and north of Interstate 20 in the Big Country could fall to around freezing again where cloud cover is expected to decrease the most. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1051 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 An upper-level trough will set up across the region from the west by the end of the work week, with a series of weak shortwave disturbances tracking through West Central Texas though the first half of next week. The limiting factor remains the available moisture for precipitation, which most models are showing is still lacking. As of now, we are expecting these systems to remain dry and track through the area with little to no precipitation. Temperatures are expected to warm Friday into Saturday into the upper 60s to mid 70s Saturday, before the next cold front on Sunday brings high temperatures into the mid 50s to mid 60s. Temperatures gradually warm back into the upper 60s to mid 70s by Wednesday, before the arrival of the next cold front on Thursday. Coldest night over the next week will be Monday morning when radiational cooling allows temperatures to drop to near or below freezing across much of the area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 830 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 A cold front is moving through the area late this evening. Expect gusty north winds behind the front, with these winds continuing into the early to mid afternoon hours Thursday. Stratus will approach the southern 3 sites during the early morning hours Thursday, ahead of the front, resulting in MVFR ceilings. Behind the front, stratus will filter into the KABI and KSJT, resulting in MVFR ceilings. Expect gradual improvements in ceilings by mid to late afternoon Thursday. Isolated light showers are possible on Thursday, but coverage should remain isolated, so no mention was included in the current TAFs. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 44 32 63 36 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 47 34 62 39 / 0 10 0 0 Junction 51 35 60 40 / 10 10 20 0 Brownwood 46 32 59 37 / 30 0 0 0 Sweetwater 44 33 63 35 / 10 0 0 0 Ozona 49 35 58 39 / 0 10 10 0 Brady 47 35 58 42 / 20 10 10 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SK LONG TERM....TP AVIATION...Daniels