285
FXUS64 KSJT 020653
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
153 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer temperatures and dry weather next week.

- Low to medium chance (20-40%) of reaching record high
  temperatures on Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 153 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

Very isolated patches of fog are currently affecting portions of
the Concho Valley, Heartland, and Northern Edwards Plateau. If the
fog persists, and increases in coverage, will update the forecast
to reflect it. Otherwise, for today, warmer temperatures under
sunny skies with light southerly winds are expected. Overnight,
clear skies will persist under a developing upper level ridge.
South to southwest winds will continue at 5 to 15 mph, and lows
will drop into the mid 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

The overall pattern through the long-term forecast will remain
benign, with generally weak upper-level ridging in place over the
region through much of the upcoming work week, and potentially
into next weekend. The only caveat to that is that the GFS, which
remains an outlier, is now showing a weak shortwave disturbance
clipping our Northern Big Country Counties Thursday night through
Friday morning. If this feature were to strengthen and/or stretch
further south across West Central Texas, then precipitation
chances may increase for that time period. However, since this is
far out in day 6 of the forecast and currently an outlier in the
models, we will continue to lean on a drier solution under the
upper-level ridging.

Temperatures will gradually increase through the middle of next
week, with afternoon high temperatures reaching back into the
upper 70s to upper 80s and in some areas on Wednesday nearing 90
degrees. Record high in Abilene for Wednesday is 90 (2007) and San
Angelo 91 (also 2007), with the statistical data showing a low to
medium chance of reaching or breaking those records (20-40%).
Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s to upper 50s most days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

Very localized radiation fog is affecting the KSJT area late this
evening, and may continue through the next several hours, so will
start with a TEMPO group there with 1/2SM and FG, along with VV002
through the next few hours and amend if necessary. Elsewhere,
there is enough wind and/or temperature-dewpoint spread to keep
fog from forming for the moment, but all sites will be monitored
closely for any necessary amendments. Otherwise, all areas should
improve to VFR conditions by mid morning as temperatures warm, and
winds increase to 5 to 10 knots, with continued clear skies.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     75  51  81  53 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74  48  80  48 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    75  44  79  46 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   74  43  79  45 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  76  52  81  53 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  46  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       73  47  79  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...20