873
FXUS64 KSJT 031120
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
520 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Another cold front will move through the area this afternoon
   and evening. This will lower highs down into the 40s for
   Thursday.

-  Low chance (15-20%) for scattered showers on Thursday, along
   with colder temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 100 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Skies are mostly clear this morning across west central Texas with
temperatures in the mid 40s.  Southerly winds were occurring as a
surface trough was developing over the Panhandle. The surface trough
was developing on the edge of a strong cold front, which will move
southward into west central Texas this afternoon and evening.  Ahead
of the front, the airmass should be warm enough to support high
temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.  For areas along and north
of Interstate 20, temperatures look to only reach the low 60s before
the front arrives.  The front will continue southward this evening
and reach the Concho Valley and I-10 corridor around 10pm.  Behind
the front, temperatures should fall into the 30s by late tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 100 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A strong cold front will move well south of the area by Thursday
morning resulting in much colder Thursday with highs only in the 40s
due to strong cold air advection and wind chills in the 30s.
However, a quick recovery in temperatures is in store for this
weekend with highs above seasonable values(in the 60s). The next
upper level disturbance is due in Thursday and Thursday night with
low chances(20-40%) of rain. A little light wintry mix is possible
across mainly the northern Big Country Thursday morning but no
significant impacts are expected at this time. Rainfall amounts look
light with this weak storm system. Going with a dry forecast this
weekend and early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

VFR conditions through this evening with light south to southwest
winds. A frontal boundary will move from north to south across the
terminals. Winds will start to turn out of the northwest between
18-21Z then turn out of the north between 00-06Z. MVFR ceilings
should develop after 06Z at most locations.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     66  34  43  33 /   0  10  10  10
San Angelo  72  35  46  34 /   0   0  10  10
Junction    72  37  48  34 /   0  10  20  20
Brownwood   68  35  45  33 /   0  10  20  10
Sweetwater  65  33  42  33 /   0  10  10  10
Ozona       68  36  47  35 /   0   0  10  20
Brady       70  38  44  35 /   0  10  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...SK