679
FXUS64 KSJT 300341
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
941 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Gusty north-northeast winds are expected this evening and
   Saturday night following a cold frontal passage.

-  Colder temperatures on Sunday, with temperatures remaining
   below normal through the early part of next week.

-  Cooler temperatures in the wake of a series of cold fronts Monday
   evening into Tuesday and Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 243 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Strong cold front is currently moving into the Big Country this
afternoon. As of the 2 PM hour, temperatures have dropped into
the upper 50s and lower 60s in Haskell and Throckmorton with
northerly winds of 20-25 mph. The front will continue to move
southward across the area the remainder of the day and should
clear the I-10 corridor by around 10 PM. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are developing ahead of the front in Eastland
County. Most of the high res models and CAMs keep this activity
mainly east of our area, but there is a slight chance of a few
showers developing in the Heartland this evening. Otherwise, the
main story will be the gusty winds and much colder temperatures
behind the front. By daybreak temperatures will drop into the
lower to mid 30s but wind chills will be in the teens and 20s.
Highs will struggle to climb much above the lower to mid 40s
tomorrow given expected cloud cover and cold air advection, with
wind chills in the afternoon remaining in the 30s area wide.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1213 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The upper-level trough centered across the Four-Corners today
will gradually track Southeast into the region by Sunday night,
keeping some moisture, and lift over the area into the start of
the work week. Therefore, there is some potential for rain showers
Monday morning in the far eastern and southeastern portions of
our area. With the increased cloud cover, also expect overnight
lows to be limited to the lower to mid 30s. As winds veer to south
and southwest, temperatures will be comparatively warmer Monday.
Highs on Monday will generally range in the upper 40s to mid 50s
north and east of a Sweetwater to Mason line, and in the mid 50s
to lower 60s south and west of that line.

A weaker cold front will move south across the Big Country Monday
evening, and across the rest of our area early Monday night. After
a cold start to the day Tuesday (morning lows mostly in the mid
20s to lower 30s), afternoon highs will be in the mid 50s to lower
60s as winds become south. Warmer temperatures will follow on
Wednesday, with highs in the mid 60s to near 70 under partly
cloudy skies and south to southwest winds. Another upper-level
trough and associated cold front is expected to track across West
Central Texas Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. This system
is expected to bring some gusty northerly winds and cooler
temperatures for Thursday morning through Friday morning. High
temperatures Thursday are expected to range in the mid 40s to mid
50s. Much of our area will have low rain chances (20-30 percent)
Thursday into Thursday night, when an overrunning pattern may try
to develop with an upper-level trough over the southwestern
CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 941 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

CIGs of 2500-3500 ft AGL across the Heartland and Northwest Hill
Country are expanding to the southwest, potentially bringing MVFR
CIGs to KABI, KBBD, and KJCT through around 08Z. Also, MVFR CIGs
could start developing again across the Northwest Hill Country
after 00Z Mon. Otherwise, VFR conditions should continue through
06Z Mon. Gusty N to NNE winds of 15-20 KT with gusts to 25-30 KT
will continue through around 13-16Z today for most of the area
before wind speeds decrease to around 9-13 KT between 16Z today
and 01Z Mon, with winds then turning out of the E to ENE at 4-8
KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     31  43  35  52 /   0   0  10  10
San Angelo  33  43  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    36  47  34  60 /  10   0  10  10
Brownwood   32  44  33  50 /   0   0  10  10
Sweetwater  31  41  35  53 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       34  43  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       35  44  35  53 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SJH