Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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951 FXUS64 KSJT 302341 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 541 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Cold and cloudy today, with wind chills in the 20s to mid 30s. - Another cold front will move through the area on Wednesday knocking highs back down into the 40s on Thursday. - Medium chance (30-50%) for scattered showers on Thursday. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 130 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 Winter has made an appearance in west central Texas as we close out the last day of November. A thick low to mid level stratus deck and cold air advection has held temperatures in the 30s across most of the area, with a few locations in the northern Big Country still hovering near freezing as of 1 PM. A weak shortwave aloft and isentropic lift may generate a few sprinkles this evening and overnight but will keep any mentionable PoPs out of the forecast. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies tonight with lows in the lower to mid 30s. Monday will be a tricky temperature forecast with a wide range of temperatures across our area. Highs will be coldest in the northern Big Country where cloud cover and cold air advection will hold temperatures in the 40s. Further to the south across the northern Edwards Plateau where fewer clouds are expected and winds turn out of the west highs will climb into the 60s. Across the rest of the area highs will be in the 50s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Sunday) Issued at 102 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 Look for a warmup Tuesday and Wednesday across the area with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s Wednesday as low level southerly flow returns. It will be cold Tuesday morning with lows in the 20s. A strong cold front moves through the area Wednesday night and much colder Thursday with highs only in the 40s, but then a quick recovery in temperatures for next weekend with highs around seasonable values(upper 50s to mid 60s). The next upper level disturbance is due in Thursday and Thursday night with low-medium chances(30-50%) of rain. Rainfall amounts look light at this time. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 541 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 Generally VFR ceilings in place across the entire are currently. As temperatures cool, and low level flow turns a little more southeasterly bringing in some moisture, expect ceilings to fall into the MVFR range between now and 06Z for our southern four sites, with KABI eventually seeing those lower ceilings after 06Z. Ceilings will rise back into the VFR range from west to east beginning around 15Z at KSOA and KSJT, eventually getting to KABI and KBBD by 20Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 34 50 26 59 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 35 59 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 35 61 28 62 / 10 10 0 0 Brownwood 33 50 25 56 / 10 10 0 0 Sweetwater 30 52 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 35 61 29 60 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 35 54 28 57 / 10 10 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...20