485
FXUS64 KSJT 060532
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1232 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Some light snow may mix with rain overnight in parts of the Big
  Country area, with no accumulation expected.

- A widespread, light freeze is expected early Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 145 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

Water vapor satellite shows an upper low drifting over NM while
visible satellite imagery shows widespread post-frontal low clouds
moving down in the gusty northerly low-level/surface winds.
Temperatures across the region were in the mid 40s in the Big
Country, upper 40s to mid 50s in the Concho Valley/Heartland, and
the mid to upper 50s in the I-10 corridor. Some skinny bands of
light showers were noted on radar imagery and surface observations
indicate that these have been only producing a trace to a couple
hundredths of an inch of rainfall.

This afternoon through the mid evening, the trough axis will move
across northwest TX and into OK, with medium to high (40-80%)
chances for additional mainly light rain showers and potentially a
few thunderstorms mainly across the northern Concho Valley and most
especially in the Big Country. Precipitation chances end everywhere
by late evening except in the northern Big Country, and then
dissipate completely after around 3 am Sunday morning. The low to
mid level profile will be cold enough where some snow flurries could
mix in with the rain in the Big Country this evening, but it`ll be
too warm at the surface for any accumulating snow except perhaps a
trace on grass surfaces. With cold air advection continuing, lows
tonight will be cold (low to mid 30s).

Sunday, surface high pressure moving in will help decrease wind
speeds though the day, while sunny skies will return to the region,
which will help temperature be slightly warmer than they were today
(highs in the mid to upper 50s).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 113 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

Light winds and clear skies will result in good radiational cooling
conditions Sunday night into Monday morning. Lows across the area
are forecast to drop into the low to mid 30s for most locations,
with some low lying areas and river valleys possibly dropping into
the upper 20s. Since we are now into the growing season, we have
issued a Freeze Watch for all of West Central Texas for Monday
morning. Temperatures should warm fairly quickly once the sun comes
up, with a pleasant day is expected on Monday. Highs will be in the
mid 60s to near 70 with light north winds.

Expect a steady warm up through the upcoming week with highs on
Tuesday well into the 70s and highs Wednesday and Thursday in the
80s. A weak cold front is forecast to move through the forecast area
on Thursday. Highs on Friday will only be a few degrees cooler than
forecast highs Thursday. Expect highs in the low to mid 80s. No rain
is forecast through the extended forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

IFR to MVFR ceilings should continue through the night with some
fluctuation possible with any light drizzle that occurs. Ceilings
should gradually improve between 12Z and 18Z, becoming VFR
thereafter. Gusty north to northwest winds are also anticipated
through the day, even after ceilings dissipate, before becoming
calm after 00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     56  33  68  43 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  59  33  70  40 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    59  31  70  37 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   56  31  68  37 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  56  35  69  44 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       59  36  70  41 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       56  33  66  39 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for Brown-
Callahan-Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-
Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SJH
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...SK