Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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589 FXUS64 KSJT 092040 CCA AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 217 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry weather with a warming trend this weekend into early next week. - A cold front on Wednesday will return temperatures to near normal, with highs in the 60s and 70s. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 215 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 Quiet weather can be expected for our area through Sunday. Initially southwest flow aloft over our area will become quasi-zonal on Sunday, as an upper level low (currently over the central Plains) moves northeast into the Upper Midwest. With a weak surface pressure gradient across our area, wind speeds will be mostly less than 10 mph. Patchy cloud cover over southern and central parts of our area will decrease in coverage tonight, and skies will be sunny on Sunday. Lows tonight will be generally in the 40s. With ample sunshine and an increase in 850mb temperatures, highs on Sunday are expected to be warmer in the lower to mid 70s across the Big Country, and in the mid to upper 70s farther south with some locations reaching or exceeding 80 degrees. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Saturday) Issued at 210 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 Overall dry and pleasant conditions should continue for early next week weak ridging builds over Texas. High temperatures should gradually warm back up into the mid to upper 70s for Veterans` Day, then around 80 on Tuesday. By Wednesday, an upper-level shortwave trough is expected move over the northern and central Plains. This would push a weak cold front into west central Texas and lower temperatures by a few degrees. Models hint at some low chances for rain north of Interstate 20 from this front, but for now, the forecast was kept dry for Wednesday. Toward the end of the week, warm and breezy conditions should set up as strong southerly return flow occurs ahead of another system. Models show this system digging into southern California. Depending on how this evolves, this would place west central Texas into an active pattern under southwest flow aloft for next weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024 VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Patchy cloud cover with bases/ceilings 4000-6000 ft will be over the southern half of the area this afternoon, and lingering over southern parts of our area tonight. Wind speeds will be less than 10 knots through the next 24 hours. Light winds this afternoon will become south by this evening, and veer to southwest by early Sunday morning. Southwest winds will become west by mid-to-late Sunday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 45 73 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 44 79 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 46 81 47 81 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 46 76 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 45 73 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 45 77 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 49 78 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....SK AVIATION...19