839
FXUS64 KSJT 071704
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1204 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Low chances (20%) for showers and a few thunderstorms this
  afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.

- Temperatures will remain mostly above normal through the end of
  this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1244 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

A weak cold front will move south across the Big Country in the
early to mid-morning hours, and should reach a San Angelo to
Richland Springs line by early afternoon. The front should then
drift south to the I-10 corridor by early this evening. Southeast to
east winds will shift to northeast with the frontal passage. The
area generally south of an Ozona to Richland Springs line will have
a possibility of isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening, ahead of the front
and with its arrival. Temperatures will be several degrees cooler
today in the Big Country, where highs in the 80s are expected. For
areas farther south, temperatures will only be a few degrees cooler
today with highs mostly in the mid to upper 80s.

A few isolated showers or an isolated thunderstorm remain possible
tonight in southern portions of our area (generally along/south of
Interstate 10). Some cloud cover will remain over the area tonight,
and overnight lows will be mostly in the 60-65 degree range.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Winds will remain out of the east/northeast behind Tuesday`s front.
Low rain chances (<30%) will stick around through Wednesday
afternoon. The best rain chances will be in the southern half of our
area, near the I-10 corridor. The front is expected to stall near
this area on Wednesday, providing weak surface convergence for the
potential development of showers and thunderstorms. There is quite a
bit of uncertainty in how much the front will effect the highs on
Wednesday, with some models keeping temperatures in the upper 70s
and others increasing them to near 90. Right now, we have highs in
the middle of these solutions, but we may need to adjust highs as we
get closer. The rest of the week will be relatively quiet weather-
wise as the upper high builds back over the area. Rain chances
remain very low for the rest of the week and temperatures will
gradually warm into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1136 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. A weak cold
front is moving through the area this afternoon. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the front, but
confidence is too low to include in the current TAFs. Expect
northeast to east winds to generally remain below 10 knots through
the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     63  87  64  89 /  10  10   0   0
San Angelo  63  87  63  88 /  10  10   0   0
Junction    63  88  63  89 /  10  10   0   0
Brownwood   63  88  63  88 /  10  10   0   0
Sweetwater  63  86  64  88 /  10  10   0   0
Ozona       64  85  64  87 /  10  20   0   0
Brady       64  87  64  86 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...Daniels