486
FXUS64 KSJT 071840
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
140 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few showers and thunderstorms are possible today in the
  southern part of our area.

- Hot and mostly dry conditions expected Tuesday through next
  weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 140 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

An upper level ridge centered over west Texas and western
Oklahoma will strengthen slightly over the next 24 hours. This
will keep temperatures hot, and precipitation chances low or
nonexistent. There is still a chance for isolated showers or
storms for areas generally south of a Brownwood to Sonora line
this afternoon. Tonight, lows will will be mainly in the 70s,
although a few locations in the Big Country may only fall to 80
degrees. Tomorrow, we will see temperatures warm a degree or two
overall, with highs in the mid 90s to around 103. Will hold off on
issuing a Heat Advisory for now as if we do see any Heat Index
values at 105, they will be very isolated north of I-20.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 140 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

From Tuesday night through the second half of this week, the
upper level pattern will undergo a shift. The upper level ridge
that is currently centered of Texas and Oklahoma, but sprawls into
the southeastern U. S., will gradually shift westward into the
southwestern CONUS, with heights gradually falling over the
southeastern states. So, while the center of the ridge will move
out of our area, we will still remain generally under the
influence of this upper level high pressure, with temperatures
remaining well above normal, and even warming a few degrees
generally. With temperatures actually warming slightly between now
and next weekend, we could make a run at record high temperatures
Friday and Saturday.

As has been mentioned in previous discussions, a very weak cold
front may approach the area from the north later this week. In
addition, we will be located within a general weakness compared to
stronger ridging to our west. With this in mind, have kept some
low end (~20%) slight chances for showers and thunderstorms,
mainly during the afternoon and evening, but confidence remains
low in any significant coverage of thunderstorms through the next
seven days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Winds will
generally remain out of the south at less than 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     78 100  78 100 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  74  99  74  99 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    71  98  71  97 /   0   0   0  10
Brownwood   74  98  73  98 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  78 100  77 101 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       72  96  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       73  96  72  96 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...42