976
FXUS64 KSJT 101803
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
103 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Not as hot this week with a chance of isolated to scattered
  showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Another hot day across the area with temperatures in the 90s to
around 100. Highs will be above 100 across mainly the Big Country
and northwest Concho Valley this afternoon. Please follow heat
safety precautions. Expect temperatures a be cooler Monday due to
the upper level ridge weakening. Highs will be in the mid to upper
90s. The CAM guidance is indicating a few thunderstorms possible
across the northern and western Big Country late Monday
afternoon. Otherwise, going with a dry forecast for the next 24
hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

An upper level shortwave trough will push across North Texas
Monday night through Tuesday. The lift from the short-wave will
combine with increasing moisture (precipitable water increasing to
around 1.6 to 1.8 inches during the day Tuesday) and instability
to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Big Country
Monday evening, and then scattered to numerous showers and storms
across West Central Texas Tuesday afternoon. A weakness aloft and
increased moisture will continue on Wednesday and Thursday, which
will continue the potential for isolated to scattered afternoon
showers and thunderstorms on both those days. It looks like upper
level ridging will gradually increase over the region Friday
through the weekend, which would decrease the chances for
afternoon showers/storms due to increased subsidence (downward
motion).

Meanwhile, expect it to not be as hot Tuesday due to weakening of
the 850 mb thermal ridge and increased cloud cover, with highs
Tuesday in the low 90s. Should start to see a warming trend
starting Wednesday and continuing for the most part through next
Sunday, with highs reaching back into the mid to upper 90s by
Thursday and perhaps touching 100 in some locations during the
weekend. Meanwhile, lows will continue to be mild (upper 60s to
low 70s) as south to southeasterly low level flow will continue to
keep conditions humid during the overnight hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. The winds will be
from the south to southeast with gusts to 20 knots at mainly the
KABI terminal this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  97  72  93 /   0  20  20  30
San Angelo  72  96  71  92 /   0  10  20  30
Junction    70  95  70  94 /   0  10  10  40
Brownwood   72  95  71  92 /   0  10  10  40
Sweetwater  75  98  71  93 /   0  20  30  40
Ozona       72  95  71  92 /   0  10  10  30
Brady       72  93  71  91 /   0  10  10  30

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....SJH
AVIATION...21