153
FGUS63 KKRF 021511
ESPSIO

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1510Z Sun Nov 02 2025

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- SIOUXS FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:FLOYD R AT SHELDON IA 1N
SHLI4 (FSD)    10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:FLOYD R AT ALTON IA
ALTI4 (FSD)    10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     22.0  <5%
:FLOYD R AT LE MARS IA NO.2
LMRI4 (FSD)    18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     26.0  <5%
:W BR FLOYD R AT STRUBLE IA 2N
STUI4 (FSD)    12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     18.0  <5%
:FLOYD R AT MERRILL IA
MRLI4 (FSD)    10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:FLOYD R AT JAMES IA 1NE
JMEI4 (FSD)    24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     30.0  <5%     34.0  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT MILFORD IA 3W
MIFI4 (FSD)    12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     20.0  <5%
:OCHEYEDAN R AT SPENCER IA 3SW
SPOI4 (FSD)    7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.5   <5%     10.5  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT SPENCER IA NO.2
SPWI4 (FSD)    9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT LINN GROVE IA
LNNI4 (FSD)    14.0  <5%     16.5  <5%     20.0  <5%     22.5  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT CHEROKEE IA NO.2
CHKI4 (FSD)    15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     24.0  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT CORRECTIONVILLE IA
CRRI4 (FSD)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     23.0  <5%
:MAPLE R AT MAPLETON IA 1SW
MAPI4 (OAX)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     23.0  <5%
:LITTLE SIOUX R AT TURIN IA 4S
TURI4 (OAX)    22.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     34.5  <5%
:PERRY CR AT SIOUX CITY IA 4N
SIOI4 (FSD)    20.0  <5%     24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     28.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT WATERTOWN SD 8NW
WTRS2 (ABR)    9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT WATERTOWN SD
WBSS2 (ABR)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT WATERTOWN SD BRDWAY
WBWS2 (ABR)    10.0  <5%     10.5  <5%     11.0  <5%     13.5  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT CASTLEWOOD SD 1NW
CSWS2 (ABR)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     16.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT BROOKINGS SD 10SE
BRKS2 (FSD)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     10.5  <5%     15.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT DELL RAPIDS SD 2SW
DERS2 (FSD)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT SIOUX FALLS SD
SFLS2 (FSD)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:SKUNK CR AT SIOUX FALLS SD 4SW
SIFS2 (FSD)    9.5   <5%     11.5  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT SIOUX FALLS SD
SXFS2 (FSD)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     31.0  <5%
:SPLIT ROCK CR AT CORSON SD 1E
COSS2 (FSD)    7.5   <5%     8.5   <5%     11.0  <5%     14.0  <5%
:ROCK R AT LUVERNE MN
LUVM5 (FSD)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%
:ROCK R AT ROCK RAPIDS IA
RAPI4 (FSD)    11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     19.0  <5%
:ROCK R AT ROCK VALLEY IA
RKVI4 (FSD)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT HAWARDEN IA 4N
HWDI4 (FSD)    18.5  <5%     20.5  <5%     24.0  <5%     30.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT AKRON IA
AKRI4 (FSD)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%
:BIG SIOUX R AT SIOUX CITY IA
SXCI4 (FSD)    29.0  <5%     32.0  <5%     38.0  <5%     41.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$