Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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570
FNUS74 KSHV 111541
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for OKRD-Bee/Rough...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1041 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Very warm and dry conditions are expected Wednesday, although scattered showers
and thunderstorms expected to move across the prescribed burn location after
7 pm. 20ft winds with be south-southwest 6-9 mph with occasional gusts to 15 mph
possible during the afternoon, with min RH`s ranging from 45-50%. At this time,
rainfall amounts Wednesday evening will be light, generally ranging from a tenth to
a quarter inch. Winds will quickly diminish Wednesday evening, with good RH recovery
expected through daybreak Thursday. Warm and dry conditions are expected Thursday,
although 20ft winds will remain light, around 5 mph (at best) during the afternoon with
min RH`s falling to 35-40%. Mostly dry conditions will continue into Friday with
any thunderstorms current forecast to develop east of the burn location during the
afternoon. While min RH`s will be even lower (30-35%), 20ft winds will become southwest
and increase to 15-20 mph with some locally higher gusts possible, especially along
the hilltops.

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  27  26  30  36  57  67  67
Weather cov.....                            SCHC
Weather type....                            RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0    0   0   0   0  20
Temp............57  60  65  69  74  75  77  77
RH..............84  75  68  60  51  48  45  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind kts..5   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   11  14  14  15  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  20  20  20  20  20  20  18
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
Dispersion idx..32  39  46  50  53  52  47  35
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........66     62     48     39     30     31
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............30     40     40     40     0      0
Temp............71     64     57     54     53     51
RH..............56     74     89     97     100    100
20 ft wind kts..S 6    S 4    S 3    S 2    SE 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.12     10     6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5    0.7    0.7    0.7    0.7    0.7
Mix hgt (m).....460    210    210    210    210    210
Transport wind..S 15   S 12   S 10   S 10   S 10   S 8
Tran wind (m/s).S 7    S 5    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4
Dispersion idx..21     4      5      5      5      4
LVORI...........2      4      5      7      9      9

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........38     37     27     17     18     30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............49     50     56     65     73     77
RH..............100    100    87     61     45     39
20 ft wind kts..E 0    NE 0   E 2    S 2    S 3    S 3
20 ft wind gust.                     4      5      5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7    0.8    1.2    2.0    2.8    3.1
Mix hgt (m).....210    240    370    610    850    940
Transport wind..S 7    SW 6   W 6    SW 6   SW 7   SW 8
Tran wind (m/s).S 3    SW 3   W 3    SW 3   SW 3   SW 4
Dispersion idx..6      7      10     15     24     32
LVORI...........9      8      5      3      1      1

$$

Forecaster...HANSFORD
Requested by...K Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505878.0/SHV
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL john.wilson2@usda.gov