Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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248
FNUS74 KSHV 152230
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for LA-KIF-Backbone...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
530 PM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Convection is ongoing and in the vicinity of the burn area. Robust
outflow is on track to move across the burn zone through the next
15-20 mins with thunderstorms remaining in the vicinity and over
the burn zone over the next 1-2 hours. Wind gust associated with
the outflow on the order of 30-40 mph will be possible, but brief.
That being said, convection related wind gust may be similar as
the convection gets closer and overhead later on. Frequent
lightning will be a concern in the burn zone as convection
prevails. TS should diminish through the overnight with wind
trending calmer through the early AM hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Temperature.........91 at forecast start...Max 95.
RH..................60 percent at forecast start...Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 2 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 2700
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....20.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........42
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............20
Temp............91
RH..............60
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind mph..2
20 FT wind gust.7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.6
Trans wind dir..S
Trans spd (m/s).3
Dispersion idx..20
LVORI...........2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Temperature.........Max 96.
RH..................Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 6 mph shifting to the south 3 to 5
                    mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northeast around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 1 to 3 meters/second shifting to the south
                    1 to 2 meters/second late in the afternoon,
                    then shifting to the northeast around 1
                    meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 22.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  12  13  9   13  13  13  25  25  25  30  30
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30
Temp............75  74  77  80  87  89  91  93  94  94  95  94
RH..............97  100 100 94  72  66  62  56  54  53  49  53
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   NW  N   N   N   S   NE  NE
20 FT wind mph..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   3   3   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.4 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   S   S   NE
Transp wind spd.6   5   3   6   5   5   3   2   2   3   5   3
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   S   S   NE
Trans spd (m/s).3   2   1   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   1
Dispersion idx..3   4   3   9   13  20  19  13  14  21  26  18
LVORI...........9   9   8   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...KNAPP
Requested by...Rob Verdie, PSC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519869.2/SHV
.DELDT 08/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_verdie@firenet.gov