Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FNUS74 KSHV 141221
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for KIF Winn Compartment 1...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
721 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Partly cloudy and warm with windy conditions looming for the day
ahead. Right now we see 45 to 65 mph winds just a couple of
thousand feet up and soon heating will mix some of these gusty
winds down to the surface. S/SW winds of 10-20 mph with gust as
high as 30 t0 40 mph later this morning abd will relax a little
during the afternoon. Enough to see record high temps under the
upper level ridging aloft, which is suppressing any chance for
rain. It also compresses the air, which helps to heat it up toward
standing records for the date. Abundant rainfall lately has our
area in a safer place with all green growth now across the region.
Our Min RH today will be around 40%, also helping to keep any
wildfire threat better in check despite the winds.


.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  65  62  61  60  59  59  59  59  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  77  81  84  86  89  91  92  93  92
RH..............87  83  72  67  62  58  54  50  49  50
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  8   8
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.8 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.16  21  23  23  24  23  24  23  21  17
Trans wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   9   10  10  11  10  11  10  9   8
Dispersion idx..26  47  62  63  59  56  65  74  75  56
LVORI...........4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  65  68  73  76  77  80  81  82  85  86  87
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  89  86  83  81  79  78  77  76  75  75  74
RH..............54  58  63  66  72  76  82  85  88  90  92  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..8   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.17  16  17  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  12  13  14  15  15  15  14  14  13  13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..29  8   4   7   12  13  13  13  13  12  11  8
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  87  86  83  81  78  75  72  71  70  69  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  75  76  78  81  85  88  91  92  93  93  92
RH..............93  92  87  83  76  68  61  57  52  51  49  51
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  21  21  21  21  21  21  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.2 3.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  18  20  22  23  24  24  23  22  20
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   7   8   9   10  10  11  11  10  10  9
Dispersion idx..7   11  25  44  62  76  87  94  96  95  92  M
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   M

$$
Forecaster...PENDLETON
Requested by...Charles Davis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513970.0/SHV
.DELDT 05/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.g.davis@usda.gov