353
FNUS74 KSHV 221616
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for Parhamwood Microburn 1...Parham wood
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1016 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

RH percentages will hold in the low and mid 30`s this afternoon,
with little to no change expected during the burn period. Mixing
heights through the burn period will sit just north of 2500ft.
20ft winds will be on the mild side, with burn criteria hard to
come by as they sit just below 5 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........39 at ignition...Max 48.
RH..................48 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northwest at 1 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2600 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing height (m)...2400 meters AGL at ignition...otherwise 640-792
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 6 mph shifting to the north
                    around 2 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 1 to 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    north around 1 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....11 decreasing to 4 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  43  42  52  27  13  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  41  45  46  47  48  47
RH..............48  46  43  43  42  42  45
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   1   1   0   0
20 FT wind gust.4   5   4   4   4   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   3   3   2   2
Trans wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Trans spd (m/s).3   2   2   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..13  14  14  13  11  8   4
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
CWR.................20 percent.
Temperature.........Max 54.
RH..................Min 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the north 3 to 6
                    mph in the morning, then shifting to the east 5
                    to 6 mph late in the morning shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 1 meters/second shifting to the
                    north 1 to 3 meters/second in the morning, then
                    shifting to the east 2 to 3 meters/second late
                    in the morning shifting to the southeast in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 16 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 7 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  69  61  52  47  47  47  43  40  40  40  40
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............34  33  35  40  43  47  50  51  52  53  52  52
RH..............85  89  85  79  76  68  61  59  58  57  59  61
20 FT wind dir..N   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 1.9 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   3   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   5
Trans wind dir..W   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).1   2   1   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   2
Dispersion idx..3   3   4   6   7   9   11  14  17  18  13  7
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...KNAPP
Requested by...Wynn Parham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503497.0/SHV
.DELDT 02/22/25
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL wynn.parham@gmail.com