Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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773
FNUS74 KSHV 041145
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for SNF Fox Hunt Rx Comp 139...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
645 AM CDT Fri Oct 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0640 CDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have
questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Very little has changed nor will change in our near future as high
pressure directs a light E/NE wind across East Texas. Another very
warm afternoon is on tap and minimum RH settling around 50 percent
with high temperatures topping out near 90 degrees. Wind dropping to
near calm overnight will present some opportunity for patchy fog to
develop closer to daybreak on Saturday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 89.
RH..................97 percent at ignition...Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northeast at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...400 meters AGL at ignition...otherwise 122-1524
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 38 late in the morning increasing
                    to 65 early in the afternoon increasing to 92
                    increasing to 105 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 83 decreasing to 59 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  36  37  38  39  40  41  43  43  42  42  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............66  65  69  74  77  81  83  85  87  88  87  87
RH..............90  97  90  79  74  67  63  59  55  55  57  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   10  10  11  11  12  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.7 4.0 4.5 5.0 3.9 2.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   12  12  14  13  13  13  13  12
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..3   4   8   14  23  38  65  92  108 102 83  59
LVORI...........6   5   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 69.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-396 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  43  36  25  21  27  30  25  11  22  33  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  81  77  75  74  73  72  72  71  71  70  70
RH..............59  72  82  90  90  92  94  94  97  98  100 99
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   7   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  12  9   9   8   8   8   8   7   8
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).5   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   4
Dispersion idx..38  18  3   0   0   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 87.
RH..................Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1554 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  39  21  24  25  14  24  35  39  46  49  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............69  69  71  73  77  80  82  84  85  85  86  84
RH..............100 100 100 98  87  79  74  69  67  66  64  68
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.1 4.9 3.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   9   12  10  12  10  12  10  9   8
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   4   4   5   4   5   4   5   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..4   5   8   14  20  26  28  28  27  29  30  28
LVORI...........6   6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...HEMINGWAY
Requested by...Joey Silva
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423269.4/SHV
.DELDT 10/04/24
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL joey.silva@usda.gov