273
FNUS74 KSHV 141550
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for Cave Springs...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1050 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

We are post frontal with falling dew points and occasionally gusty
winds this morning. Any further gustiness will fade slowly into
the afternoon hours. Low RH already and maybe in the upper teens
later today. Fair skies and calm winds after sunset.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........74 at forecast start...Max 82.
RH..................28 percent at forecast start...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northeast at 10 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 3200
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 27 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  10  9   7   4   1   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  76  78  80  81  81  82
RH..............28  26  25  24  25  25  25
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.14  13  12  11  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  15  13  9   10  9   9
Trans wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   6   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..43  42  39  38  35  31  22
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph becoming around 8 mph after 3
                    am.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   9   8   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............79  75  71  66  64  63  61  61  59  58  57  56
RH..............28  34  40  48  52  52  53  51  53  53  55  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..11  3   1   2   3   3   4   4   4   3   4   5
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 85.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast 7 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    northeast 3 to 4 meters/second in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 29 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   6   7   7   8   9   10  9   6   4   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  55  56  61  68  74  77  80  81  83  84  81
RH..............56  57  58  51  42  35  33  30  29  27  26  29
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   10  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.1 3.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   10  10
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   N   N   NE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..7   8   8   9   11  17  24  31  37  40  39  29
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...CHATELAIN
Requested by...Evelyn Foley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424179.0/SHV
.DELDT 10/14/24
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL evelyn.foley@tfs.tamu.edu