Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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436
FNUS74 KSHV 231057
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for Dead Oak Fire...TFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
557 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms possible through daybreak with
conditions improving by 9 AM. Expect light winds around 5
mph or less today, except higher with any convection. Otherwise,
temperatures will climb into the triple digits this afternoon
with RH values falling to around 30 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the
                    morning and early afternoon, then increasing to
                    20 percent late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........79 at forecast start...Max 104.
RH..................74 percent at forecast start...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 2 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the southeast late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 9200
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 9 mph in the morning and early afternoon,
                    then shifting to the northeast around 7 mph
                    late in the afternoon shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 2 meters/second shifting to
                    the west 2 to 4 meters/second in the morning
                    and early afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northeast around 3 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon shifting to the northwest late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 41 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 52 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 70 decreasing to 57 late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  55  55  57  58  56  52  50  48  46  45  42
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH                             SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW                              RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH                             SCH SCH
CWR.............20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
Temp............79  79  81  85  89  92  96  99  101 103 104 104
RH..............74  74  72  65  56  47  42  36  32  30  29  29
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SE  S
20 FT wind mph..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.5 4.0 6.2 8.5 9.0 9.2 8.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NE  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   7   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   6
Trans wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NE  NW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..2   5   7   10  18  23  41  52  68  71  72  57
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 79.
RH..................Max 72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the evening, then shifting to the south around
                    12 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.North around 2 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 4 meters/second in the evening,
                    then shifting to the south around 5
                    meters/second overnight.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  32  33  36  37  31  20  14  14  14  14  15
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............103 101 96  90  87  86  86  85  84  83  82  81
RH..............29  31  38  47  53  55  55  59  61  65  67  67
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  12  12  12  13  14  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...6.7 2.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   SE  E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..N   SE  E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..37  3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   8   5
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 104.
RH..................Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 16 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 33 late in the morning increasing
                    to 50 late in the morning increasing to 72
                    increasing to 90 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 79 increasing to 93 late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  18  24  35  41  42  44  45  44  41  40  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............80  79  81  85  89  93  97  99  101 103 104 104
RH..............69  72  69  59  50  43  37  33  31  28  28  27
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  14  13  14  15  16  16  17  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.9 4.5 5.9 5.5 6.3 7.3 6.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  13  15  15  14  14  14  13  14  12  13
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   6
Dispersion idx..5   11  16  29  36  50  72  90  79  96  89  93
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...MAYEAUX
Requested by...Andrew Chelf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620296.0/SHV
.DELDT 08/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu