616
FXUS64 KSHV 240632
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
132 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

- A gradual warmup will continue through the weekend with
  temperature maximums returning just above normal (mid-to-upper
  90s).

- Hazardous heat returns by early next work week with increased
  potential of more temperature maximums in the lower 100s and
  less than 0.25-inch of precipitation through the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Ridging, once again, remains as the primary driver of weather
conditions through the next week across the Four State Region.
Aloft, we will remain mostly at the eastern periphery of the ridge
axis, however, surface ridging will suppress enough convective
activity for dry weather to continue through the next several
days. Some antecedent Thursday rainfall could aid in the
production of patchy radiation fog on this Friday morning, while
remnant Friday showers are the only hope of rainfall through the
middle of next week at the minimum. Medium-range guidance boosts
the strength of the ridge axis aloft, allowing for light
southerly surface flow (less relief from Gulf moisture) and weak
northerly flow aloft (displacing most shortwaves and upstream
convection). Temperature maximums at or over 100 degrees F are
becoming more likely once again by next week with a 60% to 80%
probability of occurrence next Monday through Wednesday (likely
prompting issuance of heat hazard products). Long-range guidance
suggests some "light at the end of the tunnel" with ridging
finally starting to break down by the end of next week and the end
of the month. A return to normal summertime heat (mid-90s) is
likely as a result by this time with a coinciding increase in the
potential for productive rounds of convection to form with daytime
heating.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Currently dealing with an area of MVFR ceilings just north of the
AR/LA border across SW AR into NE TX and SE OK. Another area of
MVFR ceilings prevailed in the vicinity of the TYR and LFK
terminals or across Central into Deep East Texas. As we go through
the remainder of the overnight hours, would not be surprised to
see more of these ceilings encompass the I-20 Corridor of NE TX
into NW LA with these ceilings lifting to low VFR heights by mid
to late morning. Cannot rule out that some of these low VFR
ceilings could hang around through the afternoon hours today as
well before scattering out by late afternoon into the evening on
Friday. All this to say any MVFR ceilings through the first half
of the TAF period should give way to VFR conditions returning by
late morning and through the remainder of the TAF period.

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  78  97  78 /  10   0   0   0
MLU  96  78  97  77 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  92  75  96  74 /  10   0  10   0
TXK  96  78  98  78 /  20   0   0   0
ELD  94  76  96  75 /  10   0  10   0
TYR  96  77  97  77 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  96  77  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  95  75  95  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...13