


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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046 FXUS64 KSHV 311143 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 643 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 - Nice late summer weather pattern persists with our best rain chances both today and on Labor Day generally west of I-49. - Winds will begin to back from E to NE today and for Labor Day, with lighter speeds in the overnight and 5 to 10 mph each day. - Two more cool fronts will arrive this week, on Tuesday with NW winds driving out the rain through midweek and a few more showers and thunderstorms resume west of I-49 late in the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 Nice day for us under the clouds with below average readings for late summer. More to come through the Labor Day holiday weekend as the front remains stationary to our southwest with the light upper level NW flow focusing best rain chances west of I-49. The parent MCS thunderstorm cluster out of OK last night just quietly diminished during the day keeping most skies overhead mostly cloudy. We seem to looking for another nocturnal push over NE TX and deep east TX by morning with coverage concentrating a little farther west with less rainfall in the offing. The Labor Day Holiday looks slightly drier and maybe a few more afternoon thunderstorms with chances in a few spots west of I-49. Our last chance for rainfall on will occur on Tuesday as a weak cool front arrives and swings NE winds back to NW for a little drier run through midweek. The WPC in carrying a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall amounts right on our western most tier of TX Counties for the short term period. Temperatures will remain warm in the afternoons, but below average for late summer. And our lows will trend cooler this week as more weak high pressure of 1015mb arrives over the Natural State, which will lower the dew points for all of us. We will also see mostly clear to fair skies which will do well to bring about a nice range of 60s most of the mid to late week, even some upper 50s across our north on Friday. This next front later in the week will see our east keeping somewhat drier as more showers and thunderstorms resume to focus over E TX with more of that light NW flow. And then to spread the love around, both days next weekend will see yet another frontal boundary arriving in the plains, which will gather up the moisture for a shot at decent widespread rainfall everywhere in our Four-State area. The CPC 8-14 day outlook is great to avoid anymore worries with heat advisories. They show that we will run near average on temps and near normal for most but still slightly above normal rainfall expected over E TX into mid September. /24/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 634 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 Recovery has been slow across the ETX terminals this morning, as all have battled low CIGs and reduced VSBYs due to fog and low clouds overnight, resulting in instances of IFR and LIFR. At the same time, hi-res has struggled to catch up on a band of light rain working across the deep east TX terminals, primarily south of TYR to LFK. Expectation is for additional showers and storms to develop within the vicinty of the ETX terminals through the afternoon, with a general SCT/BKN layer at or below 5-8kft, with additional mid and high cloud aloft. By the evening, what does materialize convectively should dissipate with mid and high cloud remaining overnight. Heaviest of the cloud coverage should exist across ETX again overnight where impacts to flight conditions may materialize. KNAPP && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 120 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time throughout our long Holiday weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 89 71 90 71 / 20 20 20 10 MLU 90 68 91 67 / 10 10 10 10 DEQ 86 66 85 64 / 20 10 10 10 TXK 89 68 89 67 / 20 10 10 10 ELD 89 65 90 63 / 10 10 10 10 TYR 83 70 85 68 / 50 30 20 10 GGG 86 69 88 68 / 40 30 20 10 LFK 86 70 90 69 / 50 30 30 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...24 AVIATION...53