963
FXUS64 KSHV 222326
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
526 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 126 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Scattered rain showers are present along our southern zones and
will continue through the rest of today. Another upper-level
trough will extend these showers further northward throughout the
night. Overcast skies associated with these showers will likewise
move, keeping the southern half of the area warm overnight. Lows
will only drop to the upper 30s south of the I-20 corridor, while
the uncovered northern half of the region falls just below
freezing.

The northern extent of the rain will reach the I-30 corridor by
daybreak Sunday. With much of the region covered by rain,
afternoon highs will be limited to the high 40s to lower 50s.
Clearer skies in SE OK and portions of SW AR will allow for highs
in the mid to upper 50s. Elevated thunder is possible along our
southern zones, but severe thunderstorm potential is minimal. This
rain is likely to continue through the morning before moving
eastward late Sunday afternoon, bringing dry conditions back to
the area Sunday night. /57/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 126 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Upper-level ridging and southerly flow will support a period of
dry conditions and general warming starting on Monday. High
temperatures on Monday will be in the high 60s across the region.
The southerly flow supports the return of a temperature gradient,
with areas south of the LA/AR border reaching the mid to upper 70s
by Wednesday.

Another weak cold front is expected to bring temperatures back to
seasonal averages on Thursday before temperatures bounce back to
the 70s for the end of the work week. After a prolonged period of
rain, enjoy a much needed period of beautiful weather! /57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

For the 23/00Z TAFs, today`s stubborn OVC MVFR to lower VFR cloud
deck continues to impact the southern half of area airspace, with
BKN/SCT skies along the I-20 corridor. This cloud deck is expected
to migrate north through the period, with areawide impacts by
23/12Z. Scattered rain showers will become more widespread from
south to north through the period as well, represented by SHRA as
impacts arrive at area terminals, beginning to recede from west to
east during the late afternoon. Winds will remain light and
variable through the night, becoming more easterly into the day
tomorrow with sustained speeds less than 5 kts.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 130 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  38  51  36  67 /  30  40   0   0
MLU  36  48  35  63 /  20  50   0   0
DEQ  27  57  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  32  57  35  67 /  10  20   0   0
ELD  29  53  31  65 /  10  30   0   0
TYR  39  57  37  68 /  20  20   0   0
GGG  37  54  34  68 /  30  30   0   0
LFK  39  52  38  67 /  60  50   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57
LONG TERM....57
AVIATION...26