593
FXUS64 KSHV 122324
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
624 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

 - Temperatures will continue to trend warmer through the rest of
   this week in response to an expanding upper-level ridge.

 - A pattern shift will begin to take shape by this weekend with a
   return to SW flow aloft while low-level southerly flow ramps up
   as well.

 - Widespread rain chances aren`t likely to return until early
   next week as the SW flow regime looks to become more active.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

As springtime weather goes, you couldn`t ask for a nicer day in
May than what today delivered, "bottle up" weather if you will.
Perfectly seasonable temperatures with a pleasantly dry air mass
and full sunshine to boot are hard to come by this time of year.
But alas, weather changes are coming in the form of even warmer
temperatures and eventually more humidity by the end of the week
as southerly flow is set to return by late Thursday into Friday.
In addition, a highly amplified upper-level ridge out west will
expand farther east through the remainder of the week and nudge
our daily high temperatures ever closer to the 90 degree mark.
Fortunately, overnight temperatures will remain comfortable for
the next few nights with widespread 50s tonight and followed by
upper 50s to mid 60s on Wednesday night.

Although humidity levels won`t immediately recover upon a return
to southerly flow later this week, it will definitely be more
noticeable by this weekend. This trend of warmer and more humid
conditions will extend into early next week as well absent any
frontal passages. As the upper-level pattern trends back toward a
SW flow regime later in the weekend and especially by early next
week, medium range guidance continues to suggest a more active
period for much of next week. The finer details of exactly what
that looks like are still yet to be determined, but anticipate
an uptick in rain chances for early next week and possibly a more
prolonged stretch of active weather into the middle and latter
part of next week.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites for the TAF period. Skies
will remain SKC with clear visibility apart from some brief fog
at KLFK around daybreak tomorrow. Winds will stay light/variable
or calm across the region. /57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

Spotter activation is not expected throughout this week.

/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  89  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  88  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  52  88  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  90  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  53  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  59  87  66  89 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  57  88  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  59  89  64  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...57