491
FXUS64 KSHV 022358
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
658 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

 - Impacts from the remnants of Tropical Depression Edouard will
   continue with ongoing rain bands shifting northwestward into
   Texas through Thursday morning.

 - Clouds and rain will shift westward by the end of the week,
   reintroducing more above normal summer heat by early next week.

 - Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms will return (mainly
   south of I-20) later this weekend into most of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

As of 12 PM CDT, Tropical Depression Edouard is centered about 30
miles west of Lufkin with attendant rain bands extending from Deep
East Texas into central and southern/coastal Louisiana. We will
continue to see impacts from the remnant circulation of Edouard
through the overnight hours into Thursday morning as it approaches
the I-20 corridor. As it does so, the spatiotemporal extent of the
cyclonic wind and cloud field will shrink, modifying less of the
weather conditions by tomorrow and Friday. Aloft, ridging over the
mid-South will gradually weaken and re-form across the southern
Great Plains, ushering in a gradual return to above normal
temperatures (maximums in the upper 90s/minimums in the low-to-mid
70s). With dew points remaining in the low 70s through the
weekend, the potential for heat hazard product issuance also
remains elevated (especially along and north of the I-30 corridor
into south Arkansas.

Long-range guidance suggests somewhat westerly zonal flow aloft
along the base of ridging that sets up a somewhat uneventful
synoptic pattern. That said, the convection that does develop will
most likely be in the form of a diurnal pattern with the best
chance of rain south of the I-20 corridor. WPC QPF values
suggest an additional 0.10-0.25 inches of rain south of I-20
outside of precipitation from T.D. Edouard. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

For the 03/00Z TAFs, CIGs associated with Edouard have lifted
slightly to lower VFR and begun to scatter out, together with SCT
to BKN high clouds. These CIGs will continue through the night,
lowering towards daybreak and very gradually rebounding into the
morning and afternoon. Ongoing rainfall will remain possible at
east Texas terminals, gradually spreading north and east,
depending on Edouard`s slow movement through the remainder of this
forecast period. Winds will become light overnight to nearly calm,
picking up to speeds of 5 to 10 kts tomorrow with gusts possible
and a generally southerly orientation throughout.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

Spotter activation may be needed today across portions of Deep
East Texas as the remnants of Edouard continue to move through
this area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  95  76  96 /  10  20   0  10
MLU  75  97  75  98 /   0  10  10  20
DEQ  72  95  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  74  96  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
ELD  73  97  73  98 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  74  89  74  95 /  60  60  10  10
GGG  74  93  73  97 /  40  30   0  10
LFK  74  91  74  96 /  60  60  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for TXZ136-149>153-165>167.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ149-152-165.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...26