297
FXUS64 KSHV 301900
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
200 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

 - A Heat Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM Friday night as
   heat indices will climb from 105 to 109 degrees areawide.

 - Isolated to Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
   through this evening with the backdoor front, becoming
   stationary. The highest rain chance along and east of the I-49
   corridor.

 - Seasonable temps and rain chances return once again early
   Saturday with another cold front, with the highest rain chance
   along and south of the I-20 corridor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

This afternoon air temperatures will continue to climb into the
mid to upper 90s, qualifying the Four-State area for a heat
advisory as heat indices surpass 105 feels like temps. A slow-
moving backdoor coldfront crossing southeast Arkansas and north
central Louisiana is causing scattered storms to develop in
association with the peak of heating. There is a general risk for
severe activity which pose a lightning risk primarily according to
the SPC. Some of this convection may bring a good bit of rain in
short order with a marginal risk for flash flooding according to
the WPC and their day one ERO. These storms should largely
dissipate after sunset, but may linger late this evening. We could
see some patchy fog as the wind will be light and variable
overnight, but will resume from the SW at 5-15 mph for Friday for
another hot afternoon. As such, we have extended our heat advisory
for Friday through 8PM one last time, until next week.

Tomorrow, the weak backdoor cold front wash out and become hard to
find with little if any rainfall for us. We will see less clouds
and more of that SW wind, boosting back up into the mid to upper
90s. However, we do have our second cold front progged to sweep
through the area on Saturday from the Northwest to Southeast,
bringing with it increased chances of rain along and south of
I-20. The added clouds and breeze will both aid in dropping our
maximum temperatures to just below average, in the low 90`s
areawide for this weekend. So we are not expecting heat headlines
at anytime over this weekend. However, the dry heat and upped
level high pressure areas over the plains will expand eastward
with rising heights, and allow our high temperatures to heat back
up into the mid to upper 90`s by Tuesday and for much of next
week.

/Moore/24/



&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

For the 30/18Z TAFs, convection has started to fire in South-Central
AR, VCTS for KELD, KLMU, and KTXK as these storms pop up and move S-
SE through 31/03Z. TEMPO groups will be added if a storm moves over
a terminal. For all other terminals, a SCT Cu field and VFR
conditions will prevail through the evening. Until 31/06Z, winds
will generally be light and variable due to the frontal boundary
bisecting the region, before strengthening to 5-10KTS and prevailing
from the S-SW as the front lifts back northward on Friday morning as
another Cu field is expected to develop.

Ozimek/Hemingway

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours, but an
isolated strong thunderstorm or two can`t be ruled out, as
scattered showers and thunderstorms linger along our backdoor
cool front. /Moore/24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  79  99  79 /  20  10   0  30
MLU  97  77  97  78 /  60  20  10  30
DEQ  96  74  99  75 /  30   0   0  20
TXK  96  77  96  79 /  30   0   0  10
ELD  94  75  96  77 /  50  20  10  30
TYR  98  78 100  78 /   0   0   0  20
GGG  98  77  99  77 /  10   0   0  30
LFK  97  75  96  76 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...19