558
FXUS64 KSHV 031203
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
703 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

 - High temperatures somewhat cooler through the weekend,
   generally in the 80s, climbing into the lower 90s early next
   week.

 - A chance of thunderstorms possible each day through the
   beginning of next week. The best chances for widespread rains
   should be Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Surface high pressure settling across the Ohio River Valley will
maintain east to northeast winds across the region tonight through
Wednesday allowing for slightly drier conditions. The airmass will
also be much cooler allowing for highs in the 80s and overnight
lows around 70. An upper-level ridge settling across the mid-
Mississippi Valley will suppress most afternoon convection across
the ArkLaTex on Wednesday afternoon with only slight chances
possible south of I-20 where a weak frontal boundary lingers.

Surface high to shift east on Thursday allowing for winds to adopt
a more southerly component. The combination of increased moisture
from southerly flow and a nearly stationary upper-trough across
Texas will allow for increased instability across the region through
the end of the workweek resulting in diurnally driven afternoon
convection each day.

The highest rain chances will be through the weekend as an upper-
low deepens at the base of the trough across northern Mexico on
Friday night, which will lumber northeast into the Central Plains
by Sunday night. Instability associated with the upper-trough and
a low-level disturbance drifting north from the gulf could allow
for periods of widespread convection both Saturday into Sunday.

The synoptic pattern becomes somewhat stagnant early next week
as the upper-trough remains nearly stationary across Arkansas
into Missouri. The combination of the upper trough and a low-
level moisture rich airmass will maintain periods of showers and
thunderstorms as well as slightly cooler temperatures through the
end of the forecast period. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 657 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

For the 03/12z TAF Period...Some low cigs are starting to develop
across East Texas and North Louisiana, but this should diminish
over the next couple of hours. By this afternoon models suggest
some isolated showers and thunderstorms will develop across areas,
generally along and south of I-20 corridor. As of now, we have
storms dissipating after sunset, but there is some hint some
isolated convection could continue through the end of the TAF
period. Reduce flight categories are expected by the end of the
period, as low cigs move into the region. Winds will generally be
easterly between 5-10 mph during the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Spotter activation is not expected through the remainder of the
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  87  71  85  70 /  20  20  30  10
MLU  87  69  86  66 /  20  10  10   0
DEQ  87  69  84  68 /   0  10  40  10
TXK  89  71  88  70 /   0  10  20  10
ELD  86  68  85  65 /  10  10  10   0
TYR  89  72  88  71 /  20  20  30  10
GGG  88  71  86  70 /  20  20  30  10
LFK  88  71  86  70 /  40  30  70  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...20