469
FXUS64 KSHV 041755
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1155 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1234 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Wet and chilly through Friday, with widespread rain, cool
   temperatures, and lingering clouds.

 - Dry conditions settle in late in the weekend, cool start to
   next week followed by a warming trend into the middle of the
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 945 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The next several days will stay cool with on and off again rain
through at least Friday afternoon thanks to the recent inflow of
moisture. Areas in the south and southeast portions of the region
are more likely to experience much steadier rainfall, possibly
seeing rainfall totals exceeding 1". Rain and patchy drizzle will
slowly push their way to the east beginning late overnight
tonight. There will be a brief return of the showers Friday
morning for much of the southeastern half of the area before
clearing out for good Friday afternoon. Cloud cover will be slower
to clear due to surface low pressure and ample mid-level
moisture. Areas could see peaks of sunshine Saturday afternoon,
but it won`t be more consistently clear across the Ark-La-Tx until
closer to Sunday afternoon.

A benign northwest flow pattern will set up over the Four State
Region by the beginning of next week, keeping skies clear and
temperatures near-normal in the 50s and low 60s. Overnight lows
will get chilly, with areas north of I-20 falling near or below
freezing Monday and Tuesday morning. Surface winds look to shift
southerly late Tuesday morning which will begin another warming
trend through the end of the forecast period, where we will be
flirting with near 70 degree highs in our southern zones by
Wednesday afternoon.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

IFR and LIFR continue to hold a firm grip on the airspace this
afternoon as persistent RA/DZ/BR and low OVC CIGs make for
challenging flight conditions. This looks to continue well into
the afternoon and into the early evening for some. Guidance does
suggest that we could see some subtle scattering of the low and
dense OVC across the west and NW airspace but with little change
expected across the mid-deck and high level coverage. The only
benefit here will be the departure of the persistent RA and some
gradual flight condition recovery, though instances of DZ may
continue well beyond 00Z. Towards the back half of the period,
elected to introduce a slight break to the low and mid-deck, but
again likely remaining BKN/OVC aloft, with the dense low clouds
remaining an issue across the southern terminals of the airspace.
Best chance for VFR right now looks to be across the western
terminals in ETX with a mix of MVFR and IFR elsewhere.

53

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  50  42  60 /  10  10  20  10
MLU  34  48  40  57 /  20  10  30  10
DEQ  28  48  30  55 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  31  49  38  57 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  27  47  35  54 /  10   0  20  10
TYR  34  51  41  62 /   0  10  10   0
GGG  32  50  39  61 /   0  10  20   0
LFK  36  52  41  64 /  10  20  30  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...53