645
FXUS64 KSHV 040518
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1218 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

 - The influx of tropical moisture associated with the remnants of
   Edouard has largely dissipated across the region this evening.

 - Upper-level ridging will strengthen over the area heading into
   the weekend, facilitating a return to typical summer temps.

 - Despite the strengthening ridge, daily probabilities for
   showers and thunderstorms will persist into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical moisture associated with the remnants of what was
Tropical Storm Edouard has largely dissipated across the region
this evening. This will not mean a complete end to our
precipitation chances though. Upper-level ridging will begin to
strengthen over the area, but we will continue to see daily
probabilities for showers and thunderstorms into the weekend. The
most favorable conditions for this activity will be through
Sunday, mainly or locations south of the I-20 corridor. However,
as the ridge gains more influence over the region, these daily
thunderstorm chances will become increasingly limited heading into
next week.

As that upper-level ridge continues to build into the weekend, a
typical summertime heat will quickly return to the area. We will
once again remain borderline for the issuance of any official
heat-related products today, but probabilities for reaching at
least advisory criteria will steadily increase heading into the
late weekend and into the start of next week. Looking ahead, there
is unfortunately no real relief from the heat in sight through the
long-term forecast period. The upper-level ridge is expected to
linger and remain entrenched over the region, keeping temperatures
elevated for the foreseeable future. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

For the 04/00Z TAFs, some remaining scattered convection moving
west may impact KMLU and KELD in the coming hours, but is expected
to diminish after sunset. Conditions should remain mostly dry for
the remainder of the night and into the morning. Guidance hints at
new storms across our southern airspace tomorrow afternoon, but
confidence is not yet high enough to prevail impacts. CIGs look to
drop to MVFR levels by daybreak, recovering gradually through the
morning, with patchy BR/FG development possible at sheltered
terminals. Winds will become mostly calm overnight before assuming
and easterly to southeasterly orientation onto the day tomorrow
at maximum sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  76  95  76 /  20  10  40  10
MLU  96  74  95  75 /  20  20  20  10
DEQ  97  71  99  71 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  96  74  97  75 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  98  73  97  72 /  10  10  20   0
TYR  93  73  94  74 /   0   0  30   0
GGG  96  73  96  73 /  10  10  50   0
LFK  95  73  93  73 /  20  10  70  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...26