101
FXUS64 KSHV 011116
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
616 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

 - Dangerous summertime heat will continue into the weekend of
   July 4th activities. Any outdoor plans should factor in impacts
   from this heat.

 - Heat advisory criterion is expected to be met later this week
   with temperature maximums in the mid-90s or higher.

 - Rainfall totals will mostly remain below an inch through the
   rest of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Ridging aloft will gradually intensify through the middle of the
week after a weak, meandering frontal boundary keeps some
lingering rain chances through tomorrow. Temperature maximums will
remain in the mid-90s, slightly above normal for this time of the
year under partly cloudy skies. Any convection--in the usual
pulse-updraft storm mode--will continue to be diurnally driven
throughout this week, amounting to Day 1-7 totals mostly in the
0.25-0.50 of-an-inch range. Rainfall exceptions will remain with
any storms that can backbuild and train over the same area. Dew
points will also remain elevated in the 70s, contributing to
dangerous heat outdoors. Medium-guidance continues to confirm
higher after temperatures on the way by this weekend with
temperature maximums in the upper 90s.

Heat hazard products are almost certain to be issued later this
week/weekend with dangerous, prolonged heat contributing to
cumulative heat stress. Adequate precautions and awareness are
encouraged now against the elevated potential for heat illnesses.
This includes (and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans,
taking frequent breaks if you must be outside, checking the
backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of
heat exhaustion and heat stroke. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

For the 01/12z TAF update...Radar is quiet this morning and should
continue to be through the rest of the morning after some very
light returns were seen for most of the night across some of our
northern zones. VFR conditions currently prevail for all terminals
at this time and will continue throughout this TAF period despite
some SCT low clouds from a cu field that will develop once again
this afternoon. There is also the potential for some convection
along the I-20 corridor during the afternoon hours, however,
confidence is on the lower side, so I have only mentioned VCTS at
this time. /33/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  77  95  76 /  30  10  20   0
MLU  94  74  94  73 /  50  20  10   0
DEQ  92  70  92  71 /  10   0  10   0
TXK  94  74  95  74 /  20  10  10   0
ELD  92  71  93  71 /  30  10  10   0
TYR  94  75  94  75 /  20  10  10   0
GGG  94  75  94  74 /  30  10  20   0
LFK  95  75  95  74 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...33