413
FXUS64 KSHV 062321
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
621 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

 - Rain chances today and tomorrow will only add up to <0.25 in.
   across the Four State Region.

 - Dry, seasonable weather will continue by the middle of the
   week through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Ridging will remain the primary influence on weather conditions
through the next seven days across the Four State region. The
evolution of this ridging will be the source of any variations as
a result after a weak frontal boundary passes through the area by
the middle of the week. By the end of the week, northerly winds
will pick up in speed, ushering in even drier air and briefly
pushing the 60-degree isodrosotherm into southern zones. This will
allow for above-normal temperature maximums in the upper 80s.
Rainfall totals over the next seven days will reach a maximum of
0.50in in a few areas with most rain falling today and tomorrow.
/16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

A weak frontal boundary across the region will allow for light and
variable winds areawide tonight, becoming northerly up to 7 knots
on Tuesday. Additionally, lingering moisture along the boundary
could bring MVFR/IFR vsbys along with IFR/LIFR ceilings across the
MLU/SHV/ELD/TXK terminals overnight. Otherwise, ceilings and vsbys
to improve through mid-morning Tuesday. /05/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Spotter activation is not likely through tomorrow, but any reports
of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  90  71  86 /  10  20  10  10
MLU  70  89  69  83 /  20  20  10  10
DEQ  64  87  64  81 /  10  20   0   0
TXK  68  89  67  84 /  10  20   0   0
ELD  66  86  64  80 /  20  20  10   0
TYR  68  89  68  85 /   0  20   0   0
GGG  68  90  67  86 /   0  20   0  10
LFK  68  92  70  90 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...05