464
FXUS64 KSHV 222101
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
301 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 214 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

Surface high pressure has settled over the region today. This
will result in mostly clear skies and light winds. Under these
conditions, expect very good radiational cooling tonight, with
patchy frost as overnight lows are expected to drop into the 30s
areawide. Freezing temps will be possible again across portions of
Southeast Oklahoma and Southwest & South-Central Arkansas.

High pressure will start to slide east of the region on Saturday,
but mostly clear skies will remain. However, light southerly winds
will return, which will result in a slight warm-up across the
area. Highs will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s, with the
warmer temps across our East Texas and Western Louisiana zones.
The southerly winds will also yield warmer overnight lows on
Saturday night, with temps expected to fall into the 40s areawide.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

Dry conditions will remain on Sunday and throught the first half
of Monday, but with southerly winds still in place, expect the
warming trend to continue. It`s very likely some areas could see
afternoon highs into the lower 80s during this period. The cooler
and more seasonal temps will return late Monday into Tuesday, as a
cold front moves across the region. Despite the southerly winds
in the days preceding the front, deep-layer moisture will be
limited. Long-range models are only suggesting slight to low
chance pops along the boundary, mainly across our South-Central
Arkansas and Northeast/Central Louisiana zones.

The seasonal conditions will be short-lived, as the front will
return northward as a warm front to about the Interstate 20
corridor on Wednesday. Highs will return back into the low to mid
70s. Rain chances will also return by Wednesday night and remain
on Thursday, as an upper trough will swing across the Plains,
bring another cold front across the region. Expect cooler temps to
return in wake of this front, with the hint of morning lows near
or below freezing again by the end of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 AM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

For the 22/18Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the
period with northerly winds slackening after 23/00Z. Light
southerly winds begin to return by 23/15Z and the end of the
period. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  39  73  48  78 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  34  67  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  31  68  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  35  70  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  32  67  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  38  72  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  36  72  48  78 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  38  74  49  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...16