082
FXUS64 KSHV 090402
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1102 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1053 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

 - A Heat Advisory remains in place for portions of the area on
   Saturday

 - Rain chances to increase, mainly across north Louisiana, east
   Texas, and south Arkansas early next week.

 - Could see heat index values across some areas bordering on
   advisory criteria through next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1053 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

The region will be split between an upper-level ridge of high
pressure across Texas and Oklahoma and a broad upper-low across
the western gulf into Louisiana and Mississippi on Saturday. Areas
under the ridge, including east and northeast Texas as well as
southeast Oklahoma and adjacent counties in southwest Arkansas can
expect another hot and dry day with temperatures in the mid to
upper 90s and heat index values exceeding 105 degrees. Thus, a
Heat Advisory remains in effect for these areas through Saturday.
Elsewhere, the influence of the upper-trough will allow for enough
instability and mixing to restrict high temperatures to the mid
90s with heat index values remaining below advisory criteria.

The upper-trough will retrograde west into Texas on Sunday
bringing a slightly unsettled weather pattern across the ArkLaTex through
midweek. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms can be expected each
day with the highest rain chances expected on Monday. By midweek,
the pattern will have changed very little with the upper-trough
lingering across central Texas into Oklahoma and a ridge building
across the northern gulf coast. With the building ridge,
temperatures across mainly north Louisiana and south Arkansas
could again approach the upper 90s on Thursday and Friday. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

For the ArkLaTex terminals, summer doldrums persisting all weekend
with hot afternoon and mild mornings. Few to Sct fair wx cu and
some occasional cirrus. Winds to remain from S/SW early and
backing a bit to S/SE for the afternoon with 5-10KT. Overnights
3-5KT for most locales which may vary direction. Beyond this
weekend, we will see an uptick in the coverage of mid to late
showers and thunderstorms to start next work/school week. /24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1055 PM CDT Fri Aug 8 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  78  97  76  96 /   0  10   0  20
MLU  74  96  74  94 /   0  10   0  30
DEQ  73  97  73  95 /   0  10   0   0
TXK  77  99  76  97 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  74  96  72  94 /   0  10   0  10
TYR  76  98  75  95 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  75  97  74  95 /   0  10   0  10
LFK  74  97  74  94 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ050-051-059-
     060-070.

LA...None.
OK...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-166.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24