055
FXUS64 KSHV 221141 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
641 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

 - The cold front continues to sink southward as northeast winds
   now rule the lower to middle atmosphere.

 - A little less humidity will make for a nice break from the heat
   advisories, but highs will still see a soon return to average.

 - Rainfall will be ending after today, but looks to return with
   another cold front spreading more fresh NE wind down the MS
   River Valley before the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Good looking weekend shaping up for us as the cold front
continues to make progress southward today. Additional showers
and thunderstorms will be possible south of I-20, but not too bad
as the SPC is General Risk for these late summer downpours. The
muggy air of late will be drying out a bit on persistent NE
winds, so we are all looking forward to another long break from
the heat advisory calculations.

We will return highs to normal quickly over the weekend, but the
drop in humidity will be the key role for a good while. These NE
winds will eventually veer a bit to E, but back to NE as another
nice 1024mb air mass sprawls down the plains and MS River Valley
early next week. Some more rainfall can be expected by Tuesday and
again to round out the work week.

Until then, the big upper heat ridge will retrograde past the 4
Corners over the weekend, and the lower heights aloft will insure
the easing of the excessive heat of late. The upper ridge then
weakens from 595dam this weekend to 592dam and lifts into the
Pacific NW States early next week as the next air mass pours out
of Canada. So another cold front will edge our way and some NW
flow will keep our outlook for rainfall better than average,
epically late next week. The WPC EROs will be spreading down our
way perhaps by this time next week. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the 22/12Z TAF period.
Scattered areas of cu with some AC and cirrus cigs continue to
develop mainly along and S of I-20, where isolated -SHRA have
develop across portions of NW LA and adjacent areas of E TX. This
will continue through the morning, and gradually expand into the
afternoon once diurnal heating/instability increases. Have
maintained VCSH for LFK this morning, and continued VCTS for the
afternoon as well, with isolated to scattered convection expected
to develop further across portions of Deep E TX/N LA S of I-20,
before diminishing by late afternoon as it shifts farther S into
SE TX/S LA. Farther N, a scattered cu field should develop by
mid/late morning, before diminish by or shortly after sunset. ENE
winds 5-8kts today will become Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  94  73  96  73 /  10   0   0   0
MLU  93  69  95  69 /  10   0  10   0
DEQ  93  69  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  95  71  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  93  67  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  93  71  94  72 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  94  70  95  70 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  91  72  95  70 /  50  10  20   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...15