840
FXUS64 KSHV 081749
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1249 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

 - Drier air will filter into the region in the wake of the
   passing cold front from early this morning.

 - Quiet weather continues across the region as no measurable
   rainfall is currently expected through the next 7 days.

 - Temperatures will gradually rebound through the end of the
   upcoming weekend, heading into into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A surface cold front continues to slowly drift south this
afternoon, though you wouldn`t know it by the 60 and 70 deg F dew
points across the region. Though the initial potency of the
boundary is not all that impressive, it will be a secondary
backdoor reinforcement that will introduce a shot of drier and
more milder conditions to the Four State Region through the end of
the week. This will be most notable in our overnight lows heading
into Friday, as temps will be in the 50`s areawide. Doubling down
on this, afternoon highs for Friday will be comfortable with
temperatures topping out in the low and mid 80`s. Once again,
moisture availability with the passing front remains limited thus
eliminating any support for measurable rainfall.

Heading into the weekend, temperatures begin to rebound as the
upper level ridge axis amplifies locally, and slowly slides
eastward. For now, deterministic guidance suggests that Pacific
moisture will work around the western and northern periphery of
the ridge, leaving the FA dry into early next week. This will need
to be monitored closely as any subtle shift south in the axis may
allow for some PoPs to creep into the northern zones. For now
though, dry is the theme with highs climbing back to near 90 deg F
as early as Monday.

53

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

For the 08/18z TAFs...a frontal boundary is continuing to move
through the area this afternoon. This front is associated with
some MVFR/IFR cigs at times at a few terminals, with a layer of
cirrus aloft. Some ceiling drops will continue to be possible for
our eastern terminals through the afternoon before most of the
clouds clear soon after sunset. Current gusty winds will also lessen
as we get into the overnight hours. Skies look like they will be
generally clear tomorrow, with northeasterly winds around 10 kts.
/57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  65  86  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  63  83  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  80  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  84  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  57  80  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  64  86  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  62  85  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  67  89  60  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...57