285
FXUS64 KSHV 110017
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
717 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

 - Temperatures will continue to climb this week, with some of the
   hottest conditions of the season possible.

 - High pressure will dominate, bringing very limited
   precipitation chances and continued drying trends.

 - The hotter temperatures and lack of rainfall will continue to
   dry fuels, increasing the fire weather concern.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

High pressure will take control of the region this week, bringing
an increasingly dry and stable pattern with precipitation chances
essentially disappearing through the next week. Unfortunately, if
you are looking for a break from the heat, the atmosphere appears
to have other plans. Temperatures will continue to climb from
their already hot levels, to even higher levels by the middle and
end of the week. While heat index values will be treating Tuesday
like the middle of February and flirting with Heat Advisory
criteria, I think we will remain just out of reach at this time.
From Wednesday onward, however, heat indices should be warm
enough to bring a return of heat headlines to the area, which
could persist into the weekend. Seems like summer wants to remind
us all this week just what it is capable of doing to us here in
the south.

The increasingly dry pattern will have consequences beyond simply
making outdoor activities feel like a questionable life choice.
With temperatures rising and moisture lacking, fuels will continue
to dry out, resulting in increasing fire weather concerns through
the upcoming week. While I don`t think that we will see critical
fire weather conditions, this pattern will support the potential
for grass and brush fires. In summary, the forecast offers a
familiar southern summer package; hot, dry, and increasingly
difficult to convince ourselves that fall is actually on the
horizon. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, quiet evening with very limited
convection today. Fair overnight with S5KT and scattered stratus
early, but no cigs expected. The Summer doldrums are settling in
for a hot & dry week with SW5-15kt early each day, then backing
to S/SE as the sea breeze lifts inland, but coverage looks to
remain sparse. A lobe of the Bermuda high movg W sets up over SE
LA by midday and then expands into the lower MS River valley for
the coming weekend and will continue the suppress most convection.
/24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  77  97  78  97 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  76  97  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  73  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  76  97  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  75  95  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  77  97  77  98 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  76  98  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  74  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...24