Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Versions:
1
2
716 FSUS46 KSGX 152315 QPSSGX Quantitative Precipitation Forecast National Weather Service San Diego CA 315 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025 Precipitation Forecast in Inches in 6-Hour Periods... [ Beginning times for each period are in local time... ] [ For example...04Thu ] [ ...10Thu is a forecast for 4 AM to 10 AM Thursday ] [ For example...22Thu ] [ ...04Fri is a forecast for 10 PM Thursday to 4 AM Friday] ...Orange County Coastal Areas... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Huntington Beach 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.13 0.30 0.19 0.10 Newport Beach 0.08 0.14 0.10 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.10 0.31 0.20 0.12 Laguna Beach 0.10 0.18 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.31 0.20 0.13 San Clemente 0.20 0.22 0.07 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.31 0.22 0.14 ...Orange County Inland Areas... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Anaheim 0.16 0.17 0.09 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.12 0.34 0.22 0.09 Fullerton 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.15 0.31 0.21 0.09 Brea 0.15 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.03 0.01 0.13 0.34 0.23 0.09 Villa Park 0.18 0.17 0.07 0.11 0.05 0.02 0.11 0.35 0.22 0.10 ...Santa Ana Mountains And Foothills... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Fremont Canyon 0.20 0.28 0.07 0.19 0.07 0.02 0.08 0.36 0.23 0.11 Silverado Canyon, 3 Mi East of Silverado 0.30 0.39 0.16 0.19 0.08 0.02 0.12 0.55 0.39 0.21 Modjeska Preserve 0.24 0.38 0.12 0.14 0.06 0.02 0.09 0.43 0.25 0.15 Santiago Peak 0.33 0.48 0.20 0.19 0.07 0.03 0.11 0.50 0.35 0.20 El Cariso 0.27 0.39 0.17 0.16 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.35 0.25 0.16 Santa Rosa Plateau 0.45 0.39 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.28 0.22 0.17 ...San Bernardino And Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Ontario 0.15 0.21 0.06 0.12 0.04 0.01 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.09 San Bernardino 0.16 0.24 0.06 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.26 0.20 0.11 Beaumont 0.11 0.29 0.12 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.21 0.16 Riverside 0.10 0.20 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.26 0.19 0.10 Perris Valley Channel 0.13 0.25 0.09 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.21 0.20 0.15 Prado Dam 0.12 0.22 0.05 0.11 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.34 0.24 0.11 Temecula 0.14 0.26 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.22 0.20 0.18 Hemet 0.05 0.20 0.08 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.14 0.15 0.14 ...Riverside County Mountains... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Idyllwild 0.18 0.26 0.28 0.22 0.14 0.01 0.01 0.21 0.35 0.32 ...Coachella Valley... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Palm Springs 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.06 Thermal 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05 ...San Bernardino County Mountains... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue San Antonio Dam 0.36 0.17 0.15 0.23 0.04 0.02 0.14 0.43 0.29 0.12 Lytle Creek 0.41 0.31 0.21 0.25 0.05 0.03 0.12 0.45 0.34 0.15 Wrightwood 0.29 0.16 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.01 0.06 0.28 0.18 0.09 Lake Arrowhead 0.76 0.51 0.19 0.26 0.19 0.04 0.06 0.39 0.38 0.18 Big Bear Lake 0.20 0.27 0.11 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.18 0.11 Big Morongo Canyon 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.10 0.08 ...Apple And Lucerne Valleys... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Hesperia 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.12 0.07 Victorville 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.12 0.08 Apple Valley 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.11 0.08 ...San Diego County Coastal Areas... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Oceanside 0.21 0.31 0.10 0.23 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.27 0.23 0.18 Miramar 0.17 0.17 0.14 0.22 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.18 0.24 0.21 San Diego International Airport 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.15 0.22 0.19 Chula Vista 0.18 0.10 0.20 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.21 0.17 San Ysidro 0.16 0.10 0.23 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.23 0.17 ...San Diego County Valleys... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Fallbrook 0.21 0.41 0.15 0.19 0.04 0.07 0.02 0.26 0.23 0.18 Rancho Bernardo 0.14 0.25 0.19 0.26 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.19 0.23 0.20 La Mesa 0.14 0.11 0.14 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.18 0.25 0.21 El Cajon 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.22 0.19 ...San Diego County Mountains... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Palomar Mountain 0.22 0.31 0.20 0.11 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.24 0.31 0.25 Julian 0.08 0.05 0.13 0.12 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.13 0.37 0.26 Mount Laguna 0.13 0.09 0.20 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.08 0.35 0.24 Campo 0.09 0.06 0.10 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.20 0.14 ...San Diego County Deserts... 16Sat 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 22Sat 04Sun 10Sun 16Sun 22Sun 04Mon 10Mon 16Mon 22Mon 04Tue Borrego Springs 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.05 $$ Widespread rainfall this afternoon will become scattered showers with a 15-30% chance of thunderstorms through this evening. Thunderstorms could produce locally higher rainfall rates and amounts. As the storm moves east, showers will gradually decrease for tonight and Sunday. Through Sunday, additional rainfall for the coastal areas and valleys will range from 1.05-1.75 inches. For the mountains, amounts will range from 1.5-4 inches, highest on the south facing coastal slopes. For the high desert, amounts will range from about 0.55-1", highest hear the passes and foothills. The snow level will remain above 10000 feet through early this afternoon, then gradually lower to around 6500-7000 feet late tonight, rising to around 7500 feet on Sunday. These rainfall amounts along with the potential for periods of higher intensity rainfall through this afternoon could produce debris flows in burned areas, significant ponding of water on roads and highways, and urban and small stream flooding. The current forecast for the San Diego River indicates that the river at Fashion Valley will remain below monitor stage through Sunday. Additional precipitation is likely Monday afternoon into early Wednesday, though confidence in rainfall amounts is fairly low. The chance of 48 hr rainfall totals (Monday morning through Wednesday morning) exceeding 0.50" is around 45-65%, and chance of exceeding 1" is 25-50%, lowest in the Inland Empire. Snow levels with this storm will be lower, falling to 5500-6000 ft Monday night, then rising to 6000-6500 ft for Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. A third system could move into the region sometime between Thursday and Saturday, but confidence in timing and amounts with this system is low, and there is a small chance (less than 20%) that it tracks too far north and east to bring any precipitation. $$