951
FNUS76 KSGX 100224
FWSSGX

Spot Forecast for Rancho Incident...CAL FIRE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
724 PM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on October 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Chance of showers will continue through the night into Friday
morning with a slight chance for thunderstorms by the afternoon.
Winds will be light through the day with winds out of the east in
the morning, becoming westerly by the evening. Should
thunderstorms develop, expect gusty erratic winds, lightning, and
locally heavy rain. Conditions will begin to dry out going into
Saturday morning but minRH will be in the 50 percent range for
both days. Winds will pick up Saturday afternoon to be out of the
southwest around 5-8 mph with gusts up to 10-12 mph. No rain or
thunderstorms anticipated near the burn site Saturday afternoon.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds early in the morning becoming
                    southeast around 5 mph, then shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 5 to 10 mph becoming calm by
                    late morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 mph late in the morning.
CWR.................17 percent.

TIME (PDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  49  49  49  57  57  57  57  57  57  50
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH
Temp............69  71  74  78  79  80  81  80  81  79  77
RH..............71  71  63  56  52  53  52  55  55  60  61
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   6               6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   4   5   5
Ridge wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  5   0   10  5   5   5   10  10  10
CWR.............10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
CWR.................12 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  50  50  36  36  36  36  36  36  28
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............76  72  70  69  69  69  69  68  68  67  66  65
RH..............63  71  74  76  78  76  76  76  79  81  84  87
20 FT wind dir..S   E   E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4   4   4   4   4                   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   4   3   3   3   3   3                   3
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest up to 6 mph with
                    gusts to around 11 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 8
                    mph with gusts to around 15 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................4 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  28  28  28  28  15  15  15  15  15  15  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  63  64  66  68  70  72  73  73  72  71  68
RH..............89  90  88  82  75  68  60  53  50  49  52  57
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   8   11  12  13  14  15  14  14  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   2   3   4   4   6   6   6   6   6   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   4   5   6   8   9   9   10  11  10  10  9
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...LAUREN VILLAFANE
Requested by...John Clark
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523282.0/SGX
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.clark@fire.ca.gov