


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA
973 FXUS66 KSGX 031044 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 344 AM PDT Thu Apr 3 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A low pressure system over the western states will maintain cooler than average temperatures through Friday though with warming for today and Friday. Scattered showers will continue today with the greatest coverage and amounts for this afternoon and early evening for the mountains and valleys. There is a slight chance of showers for Friday afternoon for the mountains and inland valleys. Then dry and warmer for the weekend with high temperatures warming to around average. Not much change in temperatures for Monday with stronger onshore flow. Then warmer for the middle of next week with high temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above average for inland areas. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... .SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)... The low pressure system over the western states will move slowly eastward through Saturday. Scattered showers over San Diego County from the coast to the mountains will decrease during the morning. The greater coverage and amounts for the afternoon and evening are expected for the mountains and valleys. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms for this afternoon. Through this evening, additional rainfall and liquid-equivalent above the snow level is expected to range from one-tenth inch or less near the coast to one-quarter to locally one-half inch for the mountains and valleys. A snow level near 4000 to 4500 feet early this morning will rise to 5000 to 5500 feet for this afternoon and evening with a few inches of snowfall possible, mostly above 5000 to 5500 feet. There is also a slight chance of showers for the mountains and inland valleys for Friday afternoon with dry weather then expected into next week. High temperatures will gradually warm through Saturday. High temperatures today that are 5 to 10 degrees below average for coastal areas to as much as 15 to 20 degrees below average for the mountains will warm on Saturday to around average for the coast and valleys and to a few to around 5 degrees below average for the mountains and deserts. && .LONG TERM (Sunday through Wednesday)... Warming will continue on Sunday with the lower deserts a few degrees above average to 5 to 10 degrees above average for the coast and valleys with high temperatures from around 70 near the coast to the mid 70s to lower 80s for the valleys with the mid to upper 80s for the lower deserts. A low pressure system moving inland through northern California on Sunday night and Monday will pause the warming for the coast on Monday with resumed warming continue through Wednesday and Thursday. With the warming, high temperatures on Thursday will be as much as 15 to 20 degrees above average for the mountains and inland valleys with high temperatures from the lower to mid 70s near the coast to the mid 80s to lower 90s for the valleys with high temperatures for the lower deserts near 100. && .AVIATION... 030930Z...Coast/Valleys/Coastal Mountain Slopes...SCT-BKN clouds based between 2500-5000 feet MSL, with tops reaching 7000 feet, will continue most BKN near foothills and in San Diego County. -SHRA most likely in these areas with briefly lower cigs around 2000 feet MSL through 16Z. SCT -SHRA and isold TSRA 19-00Z in all areas except northern Orange County. Lower cigs around 2500 feet MSL and briefly reduced vis 3-5SM in heavier RA. Decrease in -SHRA chances after 23Z and SCT to locally BKN clouds 2500-3500 feet MSL after 02Z. Desert Mountain Slopes/Deserts...Mostly clear skies through 18Z. Building clouds based around 5000-8000 feet MSL over mountains will produce scattered -SHRA and isold TSRA with lower bases and vis briefly in pcpn 19-00Z. Gradual clearing after 02Z. && .MARINE... Hazardous winds and seas will continue to diminish this morning. See the Small Craft Advisory, in effect until 7 AM, for details. No additional hazardous marine conditions are expected through Monday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM PDT this morning for Waters from San Mateo Point to the Mexican Border Extending 10 to 60 nm out including San Clemente Island. && $$ PUBLIC...17 AVIATION/MARINE...MM