Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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172
FNUS73 KSGF 291300 AAA
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Castle Complex Unit...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
700 AM CST Wed Jan 29 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on January 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Minimum afternoon relative humidities will drop to around 30 to 35
percent this afternoon as highs warm into the upper 50s. Maximum
mixing heights will be around 2000 to 2500 feet this afternoon.
Winds will be light today generally around 5 mph. Winds will be
more westerly but variable this morning becoming more easterly
(still variable at times) this afternoon still remaining light.

Clouds will start to increase this evening into tonight. Rain
chances will then start to move into the area tonight continuing
into Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-762 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 2 to
                    5 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 1 to 2 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  30  23  27  24  21  16  12  8   8   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  35  39  45  50  54  56  58  58  58  55
RH..............66  69  62  53  42  36  33  30  29  30  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   S   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   5   3   3   3   3   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.3 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   3   3   3   2   3   2   2   3   5
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   1   3   5   4   7   5   5   7   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Rain showers likely after 3
                    am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-213 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 14 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.East around 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    south around 6 meters/second overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.13 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  3   10  9   23  48  53  72  85  80  90  89
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  30  30  40  50  60  60
Temp............51  48  45  43  43  43  41  42  41  42  42  42
RH..............42  49  55  57  57  60  70  70  76  82  89  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   12  12  13  13  13  13  14  13
Trans wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 5 to 9 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (19100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.75 inches.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  94  96  87  94  93  92  91  91  90  90  90
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  80  80  80  80  90  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............43  45  46  47  50  51  52  53  54  54  54  54
RH..............93  93  96  100 93  93  93  93  90  90  90  86
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  14  16  17  20  20  18  17  15  14  13  12
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   7   8   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   5
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   9   12  13  18  19  18  16  14  12  10  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Jacob Bryant
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501664.0/SGF
.DELDT 01/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jacob.bryant@dnr.mo.gov