


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
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188 FXUS63 KSGF 041957 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 257 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Normal summertime conditions expected for holiday weekend with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and Heat Index values between 90 and 100. - Isolated shower and thunderstorm chances (10-30%) along and west of Highway 65 for Independence Day into Saturday. - Additional 30-60% rain chances Sunday through the middle of next week. Highest chances in the afternoon and evenings. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 217 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 No changes to the forecast. Still looking at isolated to scattered (20-30% coverage) showers and storms mainly along and west of Highway 65 into this evening. Temperatures will top out around 90 with heat index values in the mid 90s. Saturday will see slightly greater coverage (20-40%) of showers and thunderstorms as an upper trough approaches from the northwest. Highs will range from the upper 80s to lower 90s with heat index values of 90-100. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 217 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 The trough will move overhead Saturday night into Sunday, resulting in higher PoPs up to 50-70% (highest in the afternoon/evening). Slow storm movement and PWAT values of 1.6-1.8" may lead to very localized flooding, but this would be the exception rather than the rule. Monday through Thursday will see similar forecasts with 30-50% chances for scattered showers and storm, primarily in the afternoons/evenings. Daily highs in the mid to upper 80s (max heat index values of 90-100) and lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1234 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 Predominant VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. There is a ~20% chance for isolated showers and storms this afternoon, but coverage is too low to include in the TAFs at this time. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Titus LONG TERM...Titus AVIATION...Titus