363
FXUS63 KSGF 022243
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
543 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat Advisory in effect across the entire area through
  Saturday. Daily highs in the middle 90s to low 100s, maximum
  afternoon heat index values around 100 to 105, and minimal
  overnight relief with lows in the middle to upper 70s.

- Little to no rain chances over the next week, with hot and dry
  conditions amplifying a rapid onset drought across the area.
  Worsening drought conditions may allow for an early onset to
  the Fall fire weather season.

- High confidence in above-average temperatures (70-80% chance)
  continuing into mid-September.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

A bit of moisture in the mid-levels has led to cumulus
formation once again over the area. These clouds prevented us
from reaching the 100 degree mark yesterday and will hopefully
keep us from hitting that today as well. Most of the area is
sitting in the upper 90s with breezy southerly winds gusting
under 15 mph. Tonight will be warm and muggy with lows in the
mid to upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

The Heat Advisory is still in effect through Saturday and ends
at 8 PM that evening. It is possible that the advisory gets
extended through the holiday weekend, though there is a backdoor
cold front moving through the area on Sunday. It may sound like
fall weather is on the way, but it`s not. The airmass through
the weekend won`t likely change all that much despite the front
moving through. It`ll still feel hot if you`re participating in
any outdoor activities this weekend. Remember the rest of the
week into the weekend will feature a Major to Extreme HeatRisk
across our area. Be sure to hydrate and take breaks from the
heat this weekend, especially with no overnight relief. The
Extreme HeatRisk does start to back off going into the start of
next week. Very low-end POPs of 15-30% move into the area on
Sunday due to the incoming front. No signal for appreciable
rainfall through the end of the long term period and Monday and
Tuesday will be in the mid 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 541 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. A few passing clouds
with no precipitation expected. Winds generally southerly, less
than 15 kts.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Record High Temperatures:

September 2:
KSGF: 101/2000
KJLN: 105/2000
KVIH: 99/1899

September 3:
KSGF: 102/2000
KJLN: 102/1954
KVIH: 100/1897

September 4:
KJLN: 102/1954

September 5:
KSGF: 99/1998
KJLN: 103/1998

September 6:
KJLN: 101/1954


Record High Minimum Temperatures (KSGF only):

September 2:
KSGF: 76/1922

September 3:
KSGF: 74/2011

September 4:
KSGF: 75/1913

September 5:
KSGF: 76/1998

September 6:
KSGF: 76/1925

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Nelson
CLIMATE...Titus/Camden