


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
966 FXUS66 KSEW 060257 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 757 PM PDT Sat Jul 5 2025 .SYNOPSIS...A warming trend will begin the new week as an upper ridge strengthens over Western Washington. The ridge will weaken and onshore flow will increase for a brief cooling trend midweek before warmer conditions return as an upper ridge rebuilds. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...The current forecast remains on track with no planned updates. 33 Previous discussion...The warming trend begins Sunday as flow aloft becomes more zonal. Interior temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 70s, with some locations in the Southwest interior and Cascade valleys reaching around 80F. By Monday, the upper level ridge strengthens in response to strong ridging over the Southwest US, leading to more widespread 80s across interior areas, particularly from Seattle southward. The ECMWF and GFS deterministic models, along with their respective ensembles, show strong agreement on the continuation and strengthening of the upper-level ridge through Tuesday. This will result in the warmest temperatures of the forecast period, with low to mid-80s across much of the Puget Sound region, and some areas pushing into the upper 80s. Moderate HeatRisk could be a concern on Tuesday. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...Ensemble guidance indicates a flattening of the ridge as a trough crosses northern British Columbia. This will promote increasing onshore flow and a cooling trend. There`s a slight chance of a shower near the coast or North Cascades, but the overall forecast remains dry. Upper ridging returns late week with temperatures rising back above normal. && .AVIATION...Westerly flow aloft continues with onshore flow in the lower levels as an upper level trough moves eastward. VFR conditions at all of the terminals this evening with some high clouds moving across the area. Most terminals will remain VFR for the TAF period as the westward push is not expected to be as strong as 24 hours ago. That said, will see MVFR conditions emerge overnight along the coast and perhaps stretching as far east as OLM. Latest guidance keeps both OLM and CLM VFR, further limiting inland extent. Surface winds remaining northerly for most terminals with speeds ranging 8-12 kts. Exceptions include HQM and CLM, being more exposed to the direct westerly push mentioned above...although they will retain similar speeds. Any MVFR conditions should see recovery to VFR late Sunday morning. KSEA...VFR conditions will continue throughout the TAF period. Northerly winds generally 8 to 12 knots, decreasing to 5 kts or less by 10-12Z. Wind speeds pick up again by noon Sunday, ranging 4-8 kts, with a directional shift to more westerly. Mazurkiewicz/18 && .MARINE...Surface high pressure will continue to remain offshore throughout the weekend and into early next week. Diurnal westerly pushes down the Strait will continue over the next several evenings, especially this evening as a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect. A weak system may approach the area waters during the middle of the week with an uptick in winds and seas. Combined seas look to hover between 4 to 6 feet throughout the weekend and into the early half of next week. Seas may become steep at times with continuous northerly winds over the waters. Mazurkiewicz && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Sunday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca. && $$