Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 151801
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Spot Forecast for Beard Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
201 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight will be mostly clear and cool, with patchy fog possible
for the WV mountains. Expect good RH recovery overnight tonight as
temperatures drop. Tomorrow minimum RH values will be in the 27
to 30 percent zone. Gusty winds decrease tonight, but become
gusty again Thursday. It will be dry through the forecast
period.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 23.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11  9   10  9   8   2   3   5   4   3   3   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  63  60  58  57  55  54  52  52  49  48  46
RH..............44  55  61  66  67  71  73  78  78  84  85  88
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  11  10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Mixng wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..14  14  14  13  10  8   7   6   6   6   5   5
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6
ADI.............23  6   6   5   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1K.17  10  13  10  11  7   6   4   4   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 3 to 12 mph shifting to the north 14
                    to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (75500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 100 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   4   3   0   3   4   6   8   7   6   6   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  44  44  47  54  59  65  68  69  71  70  69
RH..............87  84  80  74  55  43  34  30  28  27  28  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.1
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixng wind spd..5   3   5   7   9   12  14  16  17  17  16  15
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............2   4   5   8   19  36  57  79  96  100 94  73
VRate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   6   15  29  46  66  83  87  82  61

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3
mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1300 knot-ft) late in the
 night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 to 29.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   6   6   4   3   2   2   3   3   2   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  58  54  51  49  48  47  45  44  42  37  33
RH..............34  43  49  56  60  63  67  70  73  77  82  86
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.11  12  11  11  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mixng wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..13  9   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6
ADI.............29  4   3   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1K.23  7   5   3   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost early in the
                    morning, then widespread frost early in the
                    morning. Patchy frost early in the morning.
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 3 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 18.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   2   3   3   5   6   8   12  15  19
Weather cov.....PTY WID PTY
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  34  39  45  50  57  62  66  69  71  72  71
RH..............90  93  80  68  58  47  39  34  31  29  29  31
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   4   2   2   2   4   4   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.9
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
LVORI...........7   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   4   4   5   7   10  11  13  15  16  18  17
VRate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   4   6   8   9   10  12  13  14  13

$$

Forecaster...Hanes
Requested by...VICC Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523610.2/RNK
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vavic@firenet.gov