Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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706
FNUS71 KRNK 171631
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Spot Forecast for USA Cycling MBC- Explorer Park...Roanoke County Fire & Rescue Dept.
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1231 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on July 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A stalled frontal boundary will be draped across the Mid-Atlantic Friday
which will trigger late morning showers and storms to develop across
the area. While most of the activity will occur late afternoon, storms
will be possible by midday, though coverage will be isolated initially.
Winds will be generally light, around 5 mph, with gusts near 10 mph.
Skies will become cloudier as the day progresses, but temperatures are
still expected to reach into the low 90s. The weekend forecast looks
very similar, as the frontal boundary remains in the area, causing daily
chances of showers/storms, developing late morning into early afternoon.
Hot and muggy conditions will continue through the weekend. Highs will
lower slightly on Saturday, into the upper 80s, before returning to the
lower 90s for Sunday. Winds remain slightly elevated, with westerly winds
of 5-10 mph and gusts near 15 mph each day. Storms will be very efficient
and capable of dumping high rainfall amounts in a short amount of time.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms beginning late morning
into the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Max apparent temp...95.
Surface winds.......Light winds.
Pcpn amount.........0.53 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  29  23  23  18  53  56  56  75  86  88  90
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  40  50  50  70
Temp............73  73  76  80  83  86  87  87  87  86  86  85
RH..............88  89  84  78  72  66  64  63  64  66  66  68
Aparnt tmp (F)..73  73  76  84  89  93  94  95  94  94  94  93
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  W   NW  W   SW  W   S
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.7   7   7   7   7   8   7   8   9   9   9   9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Max apparent temp...93.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  69  71  70  68  69  74  82  86  85  80  75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  40  40  40  40  40  40  70  70  70  70
Temp............73  73  74  77  79  82  83  83  83  84  85  85
RH..............95  95  93  87  81  77  76  76  76  74  72  72
Aparnt tmp (F)..73  73  74  77  83  87  89  90  90  91  92  93
Surface wnd dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.1   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Burroughs
Requested by...Charlie Rucker
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2518111.0/RNK
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL crucker@roanokecountyva.gov