541
FNUS71 KRNK 031031
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Duke Energy Mount Carmel...North Carolina Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
631 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Cloudy and stable with patchy drizzle this morning. Becoming partly
sunny, breezy and unstable this afternoon.  A warm front is
lifting north through the area. Passage of the front will bring
onset of increasing winds and much warmer temperatures.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy until noon (90-100 percent), then
                    becoming partly sunny (50-80 percent cloud cover)
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    late in the morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 14 to 21 mph shifting to the southwest 24
                    to 26 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  94  96  88  78  72  62  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............65  67  69  72  74  75  79  78
RH..............100 96  88  75  62  55  59  63
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  16  17  18  20  23  22  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.0
Mixng wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Mixng wind spd..14  16  17  20  21  24  26  26
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   3   1   1
ADI.............21  27  34  41  47  56  64  64
VRate mph-ft/1K.19  26  36  46  55  68  83  80

.TONIGHT...

Max humidity........90 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................57 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
RH..............62  64  67  71  74  75  76  77  78  80  81  83
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   4   4
ADI.............57  13  8   5   5   6   11  15  18  17  15  13

$$
Forecaster...Manuel
Requested by...Jonathan Young
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508748.0/RNK
.DELDT 04/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathan.young@ncagr.gov