Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
689
FNUS71 KRNK 152132
FWSRNK
Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
432 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
Winds will increase from the west tonight with gusts up to 40 mph
possible along the ridgetops during the early morning hours of
Sunday. Isolated thunderstorms in central West Virginia should
weaken to light rain showers as they approach the burn location
overnight. While the chance of rain increases to 50 percent, any
rainfall amounts appear to be under a tenth of an inch.
The wind should shift towards the northwest on Sunday and remain
gusty through Sunday night into Monday. Relative humidities should
fall below 30 percent during both afternoons of Sunday and Monday.
Winds should begin to decrease towards Monday evening. As a result
of this combination of gusty winds and low relative humidities,
fire weather concerns are heightened for Sunday and Monday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......Increasing to 50 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 15 mph with gusts 25 to
35 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph possible.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (11200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................Increasing to 22.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54 30 37 27 32 42 43 44 66 59 55 55
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 50 40 30 20
Temp............60 59 59 59 60 60 60 60 60 58 57 55
RH..............66 69 69 69 69 72 73 73 77 82 85 84
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 10 11 11 11 13 13 14 14 14
20 FT wind gust.21 22 25 26 26 29 29 31 32 32 32 32
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Mixng wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
Mixng wind spd..18 16 16 16 17 18 20 21 20 18 20 24
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............16 11 10 14 15 17 18 19 18 17 18 22
VRate mph-ft/1K.14 13 13 14 21 18 24 26 22 20 21 26
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts of
25 to 35 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (129100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................Increasing to 100 in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40 36 28 6 3 2 6 6 6 3 1 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............53 54 52 52 52 54 53 53 52 51 49 46
RH..............88 66 65 55 48 38 33 30 28 27 28 30
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..14 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 13 13
20 FT wind gust.33 29 30 30 30 30 30 29 28 26 26 26
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.0 2.6
Mixng wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Mixng wind spd..31 36 36 35 33 33 33 33 35 36 36 35
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............42 60 73 78 81 86 89 93 98 100 99 77
VRate mph-ft/1K.34 56 79 92 102 116 126 134 146 148 144 90
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts of
25 to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (47900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (13900 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................Decreasing to 11 overnight.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4 4 4 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 7 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 42 41 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 35 34
RH..............32 35 37 39 40 42 43 44 45 46 47 48
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..13 12 12 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.28 28 29 29 29 28 26 25 25 25 26 25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Mixng wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Mixng wind spd..32 30 26 22 18 15 13 13 16 20 23 21
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............37 27 23 25 21 17 15 11 14 13 15 14
VRate mph-ft/1K.55 39 34 30 26 21 17 16 20 26 31 26
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts of
20 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (88100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................Increasing to 99 in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 3 2 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............33 33 34 37 39 42 44 46 47 47 46 44
RH..............50 50 48 45 41 36 32 30 29 29 31 33
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6
20 FT wind gust.24 24 24 24 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.5
Mixng wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W
Mixng wind spd..18 16 20 24 28 29 29 28 26 25 23 20
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............27 22 42 65 87 95 98 99 95 89 95 60
VRate mph-ft/1K.21 18 33 55 81 91 98 101 96 89 78 47
$$
Forecaster...Wilson
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525894.4/RNK
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.theiler@usda.gov,jselby@blm.gov,vavic@firenet.gov