654
FNUS71 KRNK 240838
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Taylor Hollow...U S Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
438 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0516 EDT on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect generally easterly winds today, with widespread low clouds
this morning giving way to breaks of sunshine. Widely scattered
light showers will pass across the area surrounding the incident
during this afternoon, with more widespread activity entering the
area this evening. Most of the rain will remain to the south, and
any rain that reaches as far north as the incident will likely be
less than 0.10 inch total, with rain ending by sunrise Saturday.
Believe this will be the last chance for wetting rainfall at the
incident, most likely until the typical summertime pattern of
daytime heating-driven showers and thunderstorms returns possibly
on Monday, more likely on Tuesday. Until then, cooler than normal
temperatures will persist through the weekend, with winds holding
below 10 mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 1 to 3 mph shifting to the east 5 to
                    10 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (30900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 35.

TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  57  65  75  69  74  69  61  72  67  56  58  68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............60  60  61  63  65  67  68  69  70  71  71  71  71
RH..............92  93  89  83  80  74  71  69  67  67  67  67  70
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.1
Mixng wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..1   2   3   5   7   9   10  10  10  9   9   10  10
LVORI...........8   8   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............1   1   3   5   14  25  29  34  34  32  34  35  34
VRate mph-ft/1K.0   1   1   3   10  20  25  32  33  33  35  36  32

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
CWR (0.01 in).......30 percent early in the evening, then increasing
                    to 50 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 24.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........88     73     81     85     81     83
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     30     40     50     50     40
Temp............70     67     66     65     64     62
RH..............72     78     80     81     83     92
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   E 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      6      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   700    700    500    700    400
Mixing wind......SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   SE 6   E 5    E 5
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      5      7
ADI.............24     4      3      3      2      2
VRate mph-ft/1K.19     7      6      3      3      2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning.
CWR (0.01 in).......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 1 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 16.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........66     74     65     60     70     63
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30     20     10     10     0      0
Temp............60     62     65     67     70     72
RH..............100    97     89     84     79     75
20 ft wind......SE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.4      4      4      4             4
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    1600   2400   2600   2200
Mixing wind......E 6    NE 7   NE 7   NE 5   NE 1   N 1
LVORI...........9      6      5      4      4      4
ADI.............2      7      14     13     4      5
VRate mph-ft/1K.3      5      10     10     3      4

$$
Forecaster...Fillo
Requested by...B. Foltz
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.2/RNK
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brent.foltz@usda.gov,martin.angelo@usda.gov,adam.christie@usda.gov