300
FNUS71 KRNK 172206
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
506 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1729 EST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Wind speeds continue to diminish as high pressure approaches from
the west, with gusts in the 15 to 20 mph range. Wind gusts will fall
below 10 mph in the next few hours. Dewpoints are very low, in the
low teens currently. RH values are also in the teens to low 20s, but
will rise through the night to around 50%.

Tuesday morning will see dry conditions continue as low dewpoints in
the teens. By afternoon, dewpoints slowly rise into the 20s, RH values
fall into the low 30s and westerly winds shift to the south. Gusts will
be lower than Monday, around 10-15 mph. Clouds increase midday, due to
an approaching warm front. Post-sunset Tuesday, RH values again rise to
over 50%, and rise to near 80% tomorrow night as the warm front moves
into the area. Rain chances will increase during the evening hours into
the overnight, with rainfall of around a quarter to half of an inch
expected to fall.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................22.

TIME (EST)      5PM
Sky (%).........5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
Temp............44
RH..............31
20 FT wind dir..NW
20 FT wind spd..7
20 FT wind gust.13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0
Mixng wind dir..NW
Mixng wind spd..17
LVORI...........2
ADI.............22
VRate mph-ft/1K.18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 5 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    around 3 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................1 to 9.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   4   5   8   18  31  29  9   7   12  26  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  40  39  38  37  37  35  35  35  34  34  34
RH..............35  39  41  42  44  45  48  49  49  49  52  52
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.12  11  10  6   5   5   10  7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixng wind spd..14  10  8   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............9   7   6   3   3   2   2   2   1   2   2   1
VRate mph-ft/1K.9   6   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the south 5 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then shifting to the southeast around 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................2 to 17.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  31  39  41  68  71  67  79  84  78  77  80
Weather cov.....                                            CHC
Weather type....                                            RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30
Temp............34  34  36  40  43  47  50  51  51  50  49  48
RH..............51  52  50  44  40  37  35  31  32  34  38  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.6
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   2   3   5   5   11  14  15  17  16  8   7
VRate mph-ft/1K.1   1   1   2   5   8   11  12  13  12  8   5

$$
Forecaster...Burroughs
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526052.2/RNK
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jselby@blm.gov,brian.theiler@fs.fed,vavac@firenet.gov