Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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Spot Forecast for Taylor Hollow...U S Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
507 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0522 EDT on July 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Cloud cover established over the burn area this morning will
decrease to mixture of clouds and sunshine during the afternoon.
Temperatures will be warmer today compared to the past few days,
with afternoon minimum relative humidity holding just above 50
percent. A disturbance will trigger showers and a few thunder-
storms, but increasing confidence with the latest forecast data that
any wetting rainfall will develop east of the burn, with little to
no rainfall occurring on the burn this evening. Most of Monday is
forecasted to be dry as well, but potential for wetting rain during
late Monday night as a line of storms is expected approach the
Interstate 64 corridor (west of Lexington) from the north.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 3 to 7 mph shifting to the west around 3
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (23800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 34.

TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  60  56  53  40  27  27  20  29  47  37  41  44
Weather cov.....                                            SCH SCH
Weather type....                                            RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20
Temp............66  65  64  66  69  71  73  75  77  78  79  80  80
RH..............90  92  95  88  83  75  69  66  61  58  57  55  56
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2           4   5   5   6   5   5   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.4
Mixng wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   SW
Mixng wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   7   7   6   5   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........7   7   7   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   2   4   5   8   20  31  34  28  22  21  22  19
VRate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   2   6   15  24  27  23  18  17  17  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent decreasing to 10 percent after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West around 3 mph shifting to the northeast 1
                    to 3 mph in the evening, then shifting to the
                    west 2 to 3 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 to 12.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........43     56     44     40     41     33
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............20     20     20     20     20     10
Temp............79     72     70     68     66     64
RH..............57     75     81     83     89     92
20 ft wind......W 3    N 3    N 3    E 2    S 2    N 2
20 ft wind gust.6      6      5      5      4      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   400    400    400    500    400
Mixing wind......W 3    NE 3   NE 2   N 1    SW 2   W 3
LVORI...........2      4      6      6      7      7
ADI.............12     2      1      1      1      1
VRate mph-ft/1K.9      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the west 3
                    to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (54700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........26     39     30     32     67     72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............64     67     73     77     80     81
RH..............92     87     75     63     55     54
20 ft wind......N 2    N 2    NW 2   NW 3   W 3    W 3
20 ft wind gust.       4      5      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    2200   4400   5500   6300
Mixing wind......NW 3   NW 3   N 3    N 3    W 5    W 10
LVORI...........7      6      4      2      2      1
ADI.............2      3      10     19     29     69
VRate mph-ft/1K.2      2      7      15     25     63

$$
Forecaster...Fillo
Requested by...B. Foltz
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.4/RNK
.DELDT 07/26/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.christie@usda.gov,martin.angelo@usda.gov,brent.foltz@usda.gov