Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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659
FNUS71 KRNK 192007
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Taylor Hollow...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
407 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on July 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Weather looks to be drier Monday as front slips further south
but cannot rule out a passing shower. Humidity stays elevated
in the 60s. A stronger front approaches Tuesday with a better
chance for wetting rains arriving as early as Monday night.
Could see some severe storms Tuesday with damaging winds.
As the front slows down another round of showers will be
possible in Wednesday. Looking drier and slightly less humid
by late week.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers
                    in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the southwest in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (20300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  54  61  54  47  41  40  39  38  40  41  43
Weather cov.....PTY PTY                         SCH     SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG                         RW      RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  10  20  20
Temp............65  64  66  68  70  72  73  74  75  77  77  76
RH..............89  91  86  83  80  75  74  73  70  68  66  70
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.6 4.2 3.9 4.1 3.8
Mixng wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Mixng wind spd..6   8   8   6   3   1   1   3   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............3   8   9   11  12  5   5   16  24  23  30  28
VRate mph-ft/1K.3   5   7   9   9   4   4   12  19  18  23  22

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers likely
                    with a chance of thunderstorms.
CWR (0.01 in).......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 3 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 24.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........45     50     73     61     56     63
Weather cov.....       CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............10     30     60     40     20     30
Temp............75     74     71     69     69     68
RH..............72     78     86     91     93     96
20 ft wind......S 4    SE 5   S 3    S 2    SE 2   SW 2
20 ft wind gust.10     11     7      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   700    500    500    500    500
Mixing wind......S 7    S 9    S 6    S 3    S 5    S 3
LVORI...........3      4      6      7      7      8
ADI.............24     6      3      2      2      2
VRate mph-ft/1K.19     6      3      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 5 to 12 mph increasing to around 28
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 82 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........65     56     66     67     87     87
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0      30     30     30     80     80
Temp............67     70     73     76     79     80
RH..............98     94     90     80     73     69
20 ft wind......SW 2   SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.7      10     12     14     16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    2200   3200   3600   2500
Mixing wind......S 5    SW 7   SW 7   SW 12  SW 21  SW 28
LVORI...........10     6      4      3      3      1
ADI.............2      7      18     38     73     79
VRate mph-ft/1K.2      5      16     36     75     69

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Lindsey Curtin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617252.14/RNK
.DELDT 07/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL martin.angelo@usda.gov,brent.foltz@usda.gov,james.collett@usda.gov,lindsey.curtin@usda.gov,jacob.johnson2@usda.gov