Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
352 FXUS61 KRNK 240525 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 125 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Aviation Forecast Updated. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Drier cooler weather remains through the middle of the week, with next rain chances returning Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Drier cooler weather remains through the middle of the week, with next rain chances returning Thursday. Cool, slightly below-average temperatures will linger through Tuesday as high pressure and an upper-level trough hold firm over the eastern region. By Wednesday, that trough will finally shift northeast, allowing heights to rise while the quasi- stationary Bermuda high slides eastward. Warm, humid air from the western Atlantic will surge back in under the influence of the Bermuda high, instantly reviving mid-week summer mugginess. Late Wednesday into Thursday, an upper-level impulse will sweep southeast across the northern Great Lakes, dragging a surface cold front toward the area. This front will bring a return of rain and thunderstorm chances by Thursday afternoon and evening, though the exact timing of its arrival will ultimately determine any threat of severe weather or flash flooding. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Today will begin under VFR for almost all region terminals, though early risers near KLWB may encounter a brief morning veil of patchier fog and lowered ceilings that temporarily drops conditions to MVFR to IFR levels. As soon as the sun breaks over the horizon, the stubborn dry airmass will quickly sweep those lingering vapors away, leaving wide-open skies overhead. For the remainder of the day, pilots can anticipate unrestricted visibility and smooth flying conditions. Steady west-to- northwesterly winds will pick up by the afternoon, blowing between 5 to 10 knots with occasional gusts reaching up to 20 knots. As twilight settles and the atmosphere cools, those winds will drop off completely, leaving calm, quiet air across all fields overnight. OUTLOOK... Drier airmass will sink into the area today and remain into the middle of next week. Should be mainly VFR aside from any late night fog, mainly KLWB. Next system appears to bring some chances for storms Thursday with possibility for sub-VFR cigs/vsbys. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...RCS AVIATION...RCS