River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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745
FGUS56 KRSA 222200
RVFRN

RUSSIAN AND NAPA RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
159 PM PST FRI NOV 22 2024

NEXT ISSUANCE:     FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2024 AT  9PM PST

FORECASTS THROUGH: WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2024 AT  4AM PST

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:

MINOR FLOOD STAGE:
        NAVARRO RIVER - NAVARRO (NVRC1) *
        RUSSIAN RIVER - HOPLAND (HOPC1) *
        RUSSIAN RIVER - GUERNEVILLE (GUEC1) IN 5 HRS *
        NAPA RIVER - SAINT HELENA (SHEC1) IN 2 HRS *

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-Forecast is being reissued to adjust the forecast on the lower
Russian River.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------     ------- --------    ----  ----------    ------
NAVARRO RIVER        OBS   24.7   13,500 AT   1PM   11/22/24      (18)
   NAVARRO           >MI   23.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (NVRC1)           >MD   30.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   34.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   24.7   13,500 AT  CURRENT TIME              *

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   16.8    9,250 AT   1PM   11/22/24      (18)
   HOPLAND           >MI   15.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (HOPC1)           >MD   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   26.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   16.8    9,250 AT  CURRENT TIME              *

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   18.5   33,000 AT   1PM   11/22/24      (24)
   HEALDSBURG        >AS   20.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (HEAC1)           >MI   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MD   27.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   29.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.9   37,700 AT   7PM   11/22/24 IN   6 HRS

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   30.8          AT   1PM   11/22/24      (24)
   GUERNEVILLE       >AS   29.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (GUEC1)           >MI   32.0          BY   6PM   11/22/24 IN   5 HRS*
                     >MD   35.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   40.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   34.2          AT   5AM   11/23/24 IN  16 HRS*

NAPA RIVER           OBS   14.6    5,620 AT   1PM   11/22/24      (18)
   SAINT HELENA      >AS   16.0          BY   2PM   11/22/24 IN   1 HR *
   (SHEC1)           >MI   18.0          BY   3PM   11/22/24 IN   2 HRS*
                     >MD   20.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   22.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   18.2    8,290 AT   4PM   11/22/24 IN   3 HRS*

NAPA RIVER           OBS   14.2    3,880 AT   1PM   11/22/24      (24)
   NAPA              >AS   22.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (APCC1)           >MI   25.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MD   26.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   28.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   21.4    9,690 AT  10PM   11/22/24 IN   9 HRS

DEFINITIONS:
OBS        MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
AS         ACTION/MONITOR STAGE
MI         MINOR FLOOD STAGE
MD         MODERATE FLOOD STAGE
MJ         MAJOR FLOOD STAGE
MAX        MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.

*          EVENT EXCEEDS AS/MI/MD/MJ WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM        11/22/2024 @ 2155 UTC

NOTE:      ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  NVRC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   24.7
.ER NVRC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    24.3/  23.5/  22.7/  21.9/  21.3/  20.6/  20.1/  19.6/  19.1/  18.6/
.ER2    18.1/  17.7/  17.3/  16.9/  16.6/  16.2/  15.9/  15.6/  15.4/  15.1/
.ER3    14.8/  14.5/  14.2/  13.9/  13.6/  13.3/  13.0/  12.7/  12.4/  12.2/
.ER4    12.0/  11.8/  11.6/  11.4/  11.2/  11.0/  11.3/  10.9/  10.6/  10.5/
.ER5    10.3/  10.2/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.4/   9.3/
.ER6     9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.1/   9.1/   9.2/   9.3/   9.4/
.ER7     9.4/   9.5/   9.5/   9.6/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/
.ER8     9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER9     9.6/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.8/   9.9/   9.9/  10.1/  10.1/  10.2/
.ER10   10.3/  10.4/  10.4/  10.5/  10.5/  10.5/  10.5/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/
.ER11   10.1/  10.0/  10.0/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/
.ER12    9.4/

.A  HOPC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   16.8
.ER HOPC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.4/  15.9/  15.3/  14.8/  14.3/  14.0/  13.7/  13.4/  13.2/  12.9/
.ER2    12.4/  11.9/  11.5/  11.2/  11.0/  10.8/  10.7/  10.6/  10.6/  10.5/
.ER3    10.4/  10.2/   9.9/   9.6/   9.3/   9.0/   8.8/   8.5/   8.2/   8.0/
.ER4     7.8/   7.6/   7.4/   7.2/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.6/   6.5/   6.4/
.ER5     6.3/   6.2/   6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.8/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.7/
.ER6     5.9/   6.1/   6.4/   6.7/   7.0/   7.2/   7.4/   7.5/   7.6/   7.7/
.ER7     7.7/   7.6/   7.6/   7.5/   7.5/   7.4/   7.4/   7.3/   7.3/   7.3/
.ER8     7.3/   7.3/   7.3/   7.4/   7.4/   7.5/   7.6/   7.7/   7.8/   7.9/
.ER9     8.0/   8.1/   8.2/   8.3/   8.5/   8.6/   8.7/   8.9/   9.0/   9.0/
.ER10    8.9/   8.8/   8.6/   8.5/   8.3/   8.1/   8.0/   7.8/   7.7/   7.5/
.ER11    7.4/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/   6.8/   6.7/   6.5/   6.4/   6.3/   6.1/
.ER12    6.0/

.A  HEAC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   18.5
.ER HEAC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    18.9/  19.2/  19.5/  19.7/  19.8/  19.9/  19.6/  19.3/  18.9/  18.4/
.ER2    17.9/  17.4/  16.9/  16.4/  15.9/  15.4/  14.8/  14.3/  13.9/  13.4/
.ER3    13.0/  12.6/  12.2/  11.9/  11.6/  11.3/  11.0/  10.7/  10.5/  10.2/
.ER4    10.0/   9.8/   9.6/   9.3/   9.1/   9.0/   8.8/   8.6/   8.4/   8.3/
.ER5     8.2/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.6/   7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.2/
.ER6     7.1/   7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   7.0/   7.1/   7.2/   7.2/   7.3/
.ER7     7.5/   7.6/   7.7/   7.8/   7.9/   8.0/   8.1/   8.1/   8.2/   8.2/
.ER8     8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/
.ER9     8.2/   8.3/   8.3/   8.3/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/
.ER10    8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/
.ER11    8.5/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.1/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.6/
.ER12    7.5/

.A  GUEC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   30.8
.ER GUEC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    31.0/  31.2/  31.5/  31.7/  32.0/  32.4/  32.8/  33.2/  33.5/  33.7/
.ER2    33.8/  34.0/  34.1/  34.1/  34.2/  34.2/  34.2/  34.1/  34.0/  33.9/
.ER3    33.7/  33.6/  33.4/  33.1/  32.8/  32.5/  32.2/  31.8/  31.4/  31.0/
.ER4    30.5/  30.2/  29.9/  29.2/  28.6/  28.0/  27.3/  26.7/  26.1/  25.5/
.ER5    24.9/  24.2/  23.6/  23.0/  22.4/  21.9/  21.4/  20.9/  20.4/  19.8/
.ER6    19.4/  18.9/  18.4/  18.0/  17.6/  17.2/  16.8/  16.5/  16.2/  15.9/
.ER7    15.7/  15.5/  15.4/  15.3/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.3/  15.3/
.ER8    15.4/  15.5/  15.6/  15.7/  15.8/  15.9/  15.9/  16.0/  16.1/  16.1/
.ER9    16.2/  16.2/  16.2/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.4/  16.4/
.ER10   16.4/  16.4/  16.5/  16.5/  16.6/  16.6/  16.6/  16.7/  16.7/  16.7/
.ER11   16.7/  16.8/  16.8/  16.8/  16.8/  16.8/  16.8/  16.7/  16.7/  16.6/
.ER12   16.5/

.A  SHEC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   14.6
.ER SHEC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.5/  18.1/  18.2/  17.7/  16.7/  14.8/  13.2/  11.9/  11.4/  10.8/
.ER2    10.3/   9.9/   9.6/   9.4/   9.0/   8.5/   8.0/   7.7/   7.4/   7.1/
.ER3     6.9/   6.8/   6.6/   6.4/   6.0/   5.7/   5.4/   5.2/   5.0/   4.9/
.ER4     4.8/   4.7/   4.6/   4.5/   4.4/   4.3/   4.2/   4.1/   4.1/   4.0/
.ER5     4.0/   3.9/   3.9/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6/
.ER6     3.6/   3.6/   3.7/   3.8/   4.0/   4.1/   4.3/   4.5/   4.5/   4.6/
.ER7     4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/
.ER8     4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   5.0/   5.0/   5.0/   5.1/
.ER9     5.1/   5.2/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/
.ER10    5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.2/   5.1/   5.0/
.ER11    4.9/   4.8/   4.8/   4.7/   4.6/   4.5/   4.4/   4.4/   4.3/   4.3/
.ER12    4.2/

.A  APCC1 20241122 Z DH21/HG   14.2
.ER APCC1 20241122 Z DH22/DC202411222155/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    15.4/  16.7/  18.1/  19.0/  19.9/  20.5/  20.9/  21.2/  21.4/  21.4/
.ER2    21.1/  20.7/  20.1/  19.1/  18.0/  16.7/  15.5/  14.6/  14.1/  13.6/
.ER3    13.1/  12.7/  12.2/  11.9/  11.6/  11.3/  11.0/  10.7/  10.3/  10.0/
.ER4     9.7/   9.4/   9.1/   8.8/   8.6/   8.4/   8.2/   8.1/   7.9/   7.8/
.ER5     7.6/   7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/   6.9/   6.9/   6.8/   6.8/
.ER6     6.7/   6.7/   6.7/   6.7/   6.7/   6.7/   6.8/   6.9/   7.1/   7.3/
.ER7     7.4/   7.6/   7.8/   7.9/   8.0/   8.1/   8.1/   8.2/   8.3/   8.4/
.ER8     8.4/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.7/   8.7/   8.8/
.ER9     8.8/   8.9/   9.0/   9.1/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/
.ER10    9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/
.ER11    8.8/   8.7/   8.6/   8.5/   8.4/   8.3/   8.1/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/
.ER12    7.6/

END