River Forecast
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646
FGUS56 KRSA 221545
RVFRN

RUSSIAN AND NAPA RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
744 AM PST FRI NOV 22 2024

NEXT ISSUANCE:     FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2024 AT  3PM PST

FORECASTS THROUGH: WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2024 AT  4AM PST

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:

MINOR FLOOD STAGE:
        NAVARRO RIVER - NAVARRO (NVRC1) IN 2 HRS *
        RUSSIAN RIVER - HOPLAND (HOPC1) *
        RUSSIAN RIVER - GUERNEVILLE (GUEC1) IN 12 HRS *
ACTION/MONITOR STAGE:
        NAPA RIVER - SAINT HELENA (SHEC1) IN 8 HRS *

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-Forecast flows have increased along the mainstem of the Russian
and side creeks in the lower part of the Russian River.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------     ------- --------    ----  ----------    ------
NAVARRO RIVER        OBS   21.3   10,300 AT   7AM   11/22/24      (18)
   NAVARRO           >MI   23.0          BY   9AM   11/22/24 IN   2 HRS*
   (NVRC1)           >MD   30.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   34.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   28.6   17,600 AT   1PM   11/22/24 IN   6 HRS*

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   16.4    8,740 AT   7AM   11/22/24      (18)
   HOPLAND           >MI   15.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (HOPC1)           >MD   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   26.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   17.0    9,610 AT  11AM   11/22/24 IN   4 HRS*

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   17.0   28,200 AT   7AM   11/22/24      (24)
   HEALDSBURG        >AS   20.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (HEAC1)           >MI   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MD   27.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   29.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.9   37,900 AT   5PM   11/22/24 IN  10 HRS

RUSSIAN RIVER        OBS   28.2          AT   7AM   11/22/24      (24)
   GUERNEVILLE       >AS   29.0          BY   9AM   11/22/24 IN   2 HRS*
   (GUEC1)           >MI   32.0          BY   7PM   11/22/24 IN  12 HRS*
                     >MD   35.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   40.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   34.2          AT   5AM   11/23/24 IN  22 HRS*

NAPA RIVER           OBS    8.5    2,140 AT   7AM   11/22/24      (18)
   SAINT HELENA      >AS   16.0          BY   3PM   11/22/24 IN   8 HRS*
   (SHEC1)           >MI   18.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MD   20.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   22.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   16.3    6,860 AT   3PM   11/22/24 IN   8 HRS*

NAPA RIVER           OBS   15.2    4,480 AT   7AM   11/22/24      (24)
   NAPA              >AS   22.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (APCC1)           >MI   25.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MD   26.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     >MJ   28.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.9    8,260 AT  10PM   11/22/24 IN  15 HRS

DEFINITIONS:
OBS        MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
AS         ACTION/MONITOR STAGE
MI         MINOR FLOOD STAGE
MD         MODERATE FLOOD STAGE
MJ         MAJOR FLOOD STAGE
MAX        MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.

*          EVENT EXCEEDS AS/MI/MD/MJ WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM        11/22/2024 @ 1536 UTC

NOTE:      ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  NVRC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG   21.3
.ER NVRC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    22.9/  24.8/  26.6/  28.0/  28.6/  28.6/  28.2/  27.2/  26.0/  24.8/
.ER2    23.9/  23.1/  22.4/  21.8/  21.1/  20.5/  19.9/  19.3/  18.8/  18.3/
.ER3    17.8/  17.4/  17.0/  16.6/  16.2/  15.9/  15.5/  15.2/  14.8/  14.5/
.ER4    14.1/  13.7/  13.4/  13.1/  12.8/  12.5/  12.3/  12.1/  11.8/  11.6/
.ER5    11.4/  11.2/  11.0/  10.9/  10.9/  10.7/  10.5/  10.4/  10.2/  10.1/
.ER6     9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.5/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/
.ER7     9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.3/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER8     9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/
.ER9     9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.5/
.ER10    9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.7/   9.7/   9.8/   9.8/
.ER11    9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/
.ER12    9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/

.A  HOPC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG   16.4
.ER HOPC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.7/  16.9/  17.0/  17.0/  16.9/  16.8/  16.6/  16.2/  15.9/  15.4/
.ER2    14.9/  14.5/  14.0/  13.6/  13.2/  12.8/  12.4/  12.0/  11.6/  11.3/
.ER3    11.1/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.8/  10.7/  10.6/  10.4/  10.2/   9.9/
.ER4     9.7/   9.4/   9.2/   8.9/   8.6/   8.4/   8.1/   7.9/   7.7/   7.5/
.ER5     7.3/   7.2/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.6/   6.5/   6.4/   6.3/   6.2/
.ER6     6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.9/   5.8/   5.8/   5.9/   6.1/   6.4/   6.7/
.ER7     6.9/   7.0/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/
.ER8     7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.1/   7.2/   7.2/   7.2/   7.3/
.ER9     7.4/   7.4/   7.5/   7.6/   7.6/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.8/   7.8/
.ER10    7.9/   8.0/   8.1/   8.2/   8.3/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.0/
.ER11    7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.6/   7.5/   7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/
.ER12    6.9/   6.8/   6.7/   6.6/   6.4/   6.3/   6.2/

.A  HEAC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG   17.0
.ER HEAC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    17.4/  17.9/  18.3/  18.8/  19.2/  19.4/  19.6/  19.8/  19.9/  19.9/
.ER2    19.9/  19.7/  19.4/  19.0/  18.6/  18.2/  17.8/  17.3/  16.8/  16.3/
.ER3    15.9/  15.4/  14.9/  14.5/  14.1/  13.6/  13.2/  12.8/  12.5/  12.2/
.ER4    11.8/  11.5/  11.2/  11.0/  10.7/  10.5/  10.2/  10.0/   9.8/   9.6/
.ER5     9.4/   9.2/   9.0/   8.8/   8.7/   8.5/   8.3/   8.2/   8.1/   7.9/
.ER6     7.8/   7.7/   7.6/   7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.2/   7.2/   7.1/   7.1/
.ER7     7.0/   7.0/   7.1/   7.1/   7.2/   7.2/   7.3/   7.3/   7.4/   7.4/
.ER8     7.5/   7.5/   7.5/   7.6/   7.6/   7.6/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/
.ER9     7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.7/   7.8/   7.8/   7.8/   7.8/   7.8/
.ER10    7.8/   7.9/   7.9/   7.9/   8.0/   8.0/   8.0/   8.0/   8.1/   8.1/
.ER11    8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.0/   8.0/   7.9/
.ER12    7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.7/   7.6/   7.5/   7.4/

.A  GUEC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG   28.2
.ER GUEC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    28.7/  29.1/  29.4/  29.7/  29.9/  30.0/  30.2/  30.5/  30.9/  31.3/
.ER2    31.7/  32.1/  32.5/  32.8/  33.1/  33.4/  33.7/  33.9/  34.0/  34.1/
.ER3    34.2/  34.2/  34.1/  34.1/  33.9/  33.8/  33.6/  33.3/  33.1/  32.8/
.ER4    32.5/  32.2/  31.8/  31.4/  31.0/  30.5/  30.1/  29.6/  29.1/  28.6/
.ER5    28.1/  27.6/  27.0/  26.5/  25.9/  25.3/  24.8/  24.3/  23.7/  23.2/
.ER6    22.6/  22.1/  21.6/  21.1/  20.6/  20.1/  19.6/  19.2/  18.7/  18.3/
.ER7    17.8/  17.4/  17.0/  16.7/  16.4/  16.1/  15.8/  15.6/  15.4/  15.3/
.ER8    15.1/  15.0/  14.9/  14.9/  14.9/  14.8/  14.8/  14.8/  14.8/  14.9/
.ER9    14.9/  14.9/  14.9/  15.0/  15.0/  15.0/  15.1/  15.1/  15.1/  15.1/
.ER10   15.1/  15.1/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.3/  15.3/  15.3/
.ER11   15.3/  15.4/  15.4/  15.4/  15.5/  15.5/  15.5/  15.5/  15.6/  15.6/
.ER12   15.6/  15.6/  15.6/  15.6/  15.5/  15.5/  15.4/

.A  SHEC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG    8.5
.ER SHEC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     8.6/   8.8/   9.0/   9.4/  10.2/  11.6/  15.3/  16.3/  15.4/  14.2/
.ER2    13.1/  12.1/  11.4/  10.7/  10.0/   9.5/   9.1/   8.7/   8.3/   8.1/
.ER3     7.9/   7.6/   7.3/   7.1/   6.9/   6.6/   6.4/   6.2/   5.9/   5.8/
.ER4     5.6/   5.5/   5.3/   5.1/   4.9/   4.8/   4.7/   4.5/   4.4/   4.3/
.ER5     4.3/   4.2/   4.1/   4.0/   4.0/   4.0/   3.9/   3.9/   3.8/   3.8/
.ER6     3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.5/   3.5/   3.6/   3.7/   3.8/
.ER7     3.9/   4.0/   4.1/   4.2/   4.2/   4.2/   4.3/   4.2/   4.2/   4.2/
.ER8     4.2/   4.2/   4.3/   4.4/   4.5/   4.6/   4.6/   4.7/   4.7/   4.7/
.ER9     4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.8/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   5.0/
.ER10    5.0/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/
.ER11    4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.8/   4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.6/   4.6/   4.5/
.ER12    4.4/   4.4/   4.3/   4.3/   4.2/   4.1/   4.0/

.A  APCC1 20241122 Z DH15/HG   15.2
.ER APCC1 20241122 Z DH16/DC202411221536/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    14.5/  14.0/  13.9/  14.1/  14.4/  14.8/  15.2/  16.2/  17.2/  18.2/
.ER2    18.8/  19.3/  19.7/  19.9/  19.9/  19.7/  19.3/  18.6/  17.4/  16.4/
.ER3    15.5/  14.7/  14.0/  13.5/  13.1/  12.7/  12.3/  11.9/  11.6/  11.2/
.ER4    10.9/  10.6/  10.3/  10.0/   9.7/   9.4/   9.2/   9.0/   8.7/   8.5/
.ER5     8.3/   8.1/   7.9/   7.8/   7.6/   7.5/   7.4/   7.2/   7.1/   7.0/
.ER6     7.0/   6.9/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7/   6.7/   6.6/   6.6/   6.6/   6.5/
.ER7     6.5/   6.5/   6.6/   6.6/   6.8/   6.9/   7.0/   7.1/   7.1/   7.2/
.ER8     7.2/   7.3/   7.3/   7.3/   7.4/   7.5/   7.7/   7.9/   8.0/   8.1/
.ER9     8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.3/   8.3/   8.3/   8.4/   8.5/   8.6/   8.6/
.ER10    8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/
.ER11    8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.2/   8.2/
.ER12    8.1/   8.0/   7.9/   7.8/   7.7/   7.6/   7.5/

END