Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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029
FNUS71 KRLX 111114
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Sunny Oaks Unit 11...Wayne National Forest
National Weather Service Charleston WV
714 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will promote dry weather for the next several days,
with very mild afternoons. Highs will reach the 70s across much of
the lowlands today and Wednesday, and then all of the lowlands for
the balance of the week, with 80 degrees not out of reach in a few
spots by Saturday.

The warmer temperatures, dry conditions and gusty winds will pose a
fire danger threat, especially this afternoon and evening and again
on Friday when afternoon relative humidity values are expected to
drop into the mid to lower 20s.

A weak disturbance passing south of the area may bring showers
Thursday, but there is a much better chance for showers, along with
gusty winds and the chance for thunderstorms, this upcoming weekend,
as a strong low pressure system tracks up through the Great Lakes.
A widespread soaking rain could develop Saturday night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 81 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  37  46  53  58  62  67  68  70  72
RH..............74  77  58  45  39  35  29  28  26  26
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  11  13  14  16  16  17  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.9 4.4 4.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   9   13  16  18  21  21  20
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   7   7   16  30  46  61  76  81  77

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph shifting to the west 2 to
                    3 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northwest around 3 mph overnight shifting
                    to the northeast overnight.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   4   12  21  29  34  38  43  43  44  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  67  64  62  58  55  53  51  48  47  46  45
RH..............29  34  38  42  49  54  59  66  71  70  67  68
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  10  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  8   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............7   4   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the southeast 3
                    to 5 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the southwest 6 to 15 mph late in the morning
                    increasing to around 17 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 107 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  27  18  5   6   6   14  22  29  32  35  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  43  43  43  50  57  60  64  68  69  70  72
RH..............71  72  68  71  57  47  45  43  41  39  37  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   8   10  10  11  11  12  13  13  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.8 5.4 5.4
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   5   6   8   10  13  15  17  17
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............4   4   4   4   5   10  23  40  58  83  107 106

$$
Forecaster...ARJ
Requested by...Scottie Kiser
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505648.1/RLX
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scottie.kiser@usda.gov